The third-ranked Purdue Boilermakers will look for their first-ever win against the Florida State Seminoles when they meet in a nonconference matchup on Tuesday. The Seminoles (5-1), who have won all four previous meetings with Purdue, are coming off an 81-80 overtime win over Boston University in the Jacksonville Classic on Wednesday. The Boilermakers (6-0), who are 15-1 on their home floor since the start of 2020-21, crushed Nebraska Omaha 97-40 on Friday, the fifth time in six games they have scored 90 points or more. Florida State is 3-5 on the road over the past two seasons.
The game from Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind., is scheduled to tip off at 7 p.m. ET. Purdue is averaging 92.3 points per game, while Florida State averages 75.7. The Boilermakers are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Florida State vs. Purdue odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 142. Before making any Purdue vs. Florida State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Purdue vs. Florida State spread: Purdue -11.5
- Purdue vs. Florida State over-under: 142 points
- Purdue vs. Florida State money line: Purdue -700, FSU +475
- FSU: The Seminoles are 19-6-1 against the spread in their last 26 Tuesday games
- PUR: The Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
Why Purdue can cover
The Boilermakers can put up a lot of points and one reason is senior guard Sasha Stefanovic. He is third on the team in scoring at 13.2 points per game on 46 percent shooting from the floor, including 47.5 percent from 3-point range. He also averages 4.3 assists and 2.7 rebounds. Stefanovic has scored in double figures in four of his six games, including a pair of 23-point performances. He scored 23 points and dished out eight assists in a 93-84 win over North Carolina on Nov. 20.
Also averaging in double figures is senior forward Trevion Williams. Williams averages 13 points, 7.7 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.3 steals per game, and is connecting on 66 percent of his field goals. He has reached double figures in four games, including two double-doubles. In the win over Nebraska Omaha, he scored 14 points and grabbed 10 rebounds. Williams had a dominant 2020-21, starting 26 games and earning first-team All-Big Ten honors. He was also named All-America honorable mention by The Associated Press.
Why Florida State can cover
After losing at Florida on Nov. 14, the Seminoles have been red hot. Senior forward Malik Osborne has been a force, and is averaging 12.5 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. He has reached double figures in five of six games, including back-to-back 18-point performances to open the season, and has one double-double. He is coming off a 10-point, seven-rebound effort in the overtime win over Boston University on Wednesday.
Freshman guard Matthew Cleveland is off to a fast start to his career. He is second on the team in scoring at 10.8 points per game, and is averaging five rebounds and 1.7 assists. Cleveland is a two-time high school All-American and one of the top recruits in Florida State history. He earned All-American second-team honors as a senior. He scored 17 points and grabbed seven rebounds against Boston University in the Jacksonville Classic.
How to make FSU vs. Purdue picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 146 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can get the pick only at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Florida State? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned almost $2,100 on its college basketball picks the last five-plus years, and find out.