High-powered offenses collide when the No. 25 Illinois Fighting Illini battle the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers in a key Big Ten Conference matchup on Monday afternoon. The Boilermakers (14-2, 3-2), who have scored 90 or more points in eight games this season, tied for the most in the country with Gonzaga, will be looking to win their third straight road game against a ranked team. Purdue's seven wins by 25 or more points are the third most in the nation and most in the Big Ten. The Fighting Illini (13-3, 6-0), who have won their last six games by 10 points or more, are coming off a 68-53 win over Michigan on Friday.
The game from State Farm Arena in Champaign, Ill., is scheduled to tip off at noon ET. Purdue is averaging 85.6 points per game, while Illinois averages 79.7. The Fighting Illini are one-point favorites in the latest Purdue vs. Illinois odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is down to 147 after opening at 152.5. Before locking in any Illinois vs. Purdue picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Purdue vs. Illinois, and just revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and trends for Illinois vs. Purdue:
- Purdue vs. Illinois spread: Illinois -1
- Purdue vs. Illinois over-under: 147 points
- Purdue vs. Illinois money line: Illinois -115, Purdue -105
- PUR: The over is 4-0 in the Boilermakers last four games overall
- ILL: The Fighting Illini are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games
Why Illinois can cover
The Fighting Illini are 8-1 at home this season and 19-3 since the start of 2020-21. Kofi Cockburn (21.9 ppg, 12.3 rpg) is the team's biggest star, but he gets plenty of help. Fifth-year senior guard Trent Frazier is also a big part of the Illinois offense. In 14 games this season, he is averaging 13.2 points, 3.4 assists, 3.2 rebounds and 1.5 steals in 32.9 minutes per game. Frazier scored a season-high 29 points in a win at Nebraska last Tuesday, and followed that up with an 18-point effort against Michigan. He also had a 27-point game in an 83-79 loss to No. 11 Arizona on Dec. 11.
Senior guard Jacob Grandison also plays a big part in the Fighting Illini's success. He is fourth in scoring, averaging 11.7 points per game, and is hitting on 50.4 percent of his field goals, including 47.8 percent from 3-point range, and 85.7 percent from the free throw line. He is also averaging 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists. His best game was a 21-point effort in an 87-83 win at Iowa on Dec. 6.
Why Purdue can cover
The Boilermakers are paced by sophomore guard Jaden Ivey, who has scored in double figures in each of his last 13 games, including 17 points, five assists and four rebounds in the win over Nebraska on Friday. In that game, he also surpassed 500 career points. After starting the season going 3 of 12 from 3-point range, he has been on fire, and has connected on 31 of 66 in the last 13 games. For the season, Ivey is hitting on 50 percent of his field goals, including 43.6 percent from 3-point range.
Also giving opposing defenses fits is sophomore center Zach Edey, who is a 71.3 percent shooter from the floor, tops in the nation. He has scored 73 points, grabbed 30 rebounds and dished out seven assists in 66 minutes over the last four games. For the season, Edey averages 15.4 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He has blocked 21 shots and has five steals.
How to make Illinois vs. Purdue picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 149 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting well over 60 percent of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Illinois? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,200 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.