Purdue vs. Maryland odds, line: College basketball picks, predictions from model on 99-67 run

A heavyweight college hoops battle unfolds Tuesday at 6:30 p.m. ET when the No. 12 Purdue Boilermakers visit the No. 24 Maryland Terrapins. The Boilermakers are favored by two on the road, while the over-under for total points is 141 in the latest Purdue vs. Maryland odds. Purdue is just a half-game behind Michigan in the Big Ten standings, while Maryland is in a tie for fourth. Both teams still have Big Ten title aspirations, which should make Tuesday's contest a dogfight. So before you make your Purdue vs. Maryland picks, be sure to view the college basketball predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned more than $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also enters Week 15 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a blistering 99-67 run on top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Purdue vs. Maryland 10,000 times. We can tell you it's leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before you lock in your own picks.

The model knows that Maryland should be able to get quality looks from the 3-point line. The Terrapins are a solid 3-point shooting team, knocking down 37 percent of their attempts from deep against fellow Division I opponents. In conference play, that number surges to 39.7 percent, the best mark in the Big Ten. Against a Purdue defense that has struggled running teams off the 3-point line all season, the Terrapins should be looking to move the ball quickly around the perimeter in search of quality looks. The Boilermakers rank 284th in the nation in defending the arc.

With that in mind, expect Eric Ayala and Aaron Wiggins to take on bigger roles than usual on Tuesday. They average 8.9 and 8.3 points, but they're the team's two best 3-point shooters.

But just because the Terrapins can knock down shots from behind the arc doesn't mean they'll stay within the Purdue vs. Maryland spread.

The Boilermakers should have the opportunity to steal possessions against the Terrapins thanks to the sensational backcourt play of Carsen Edwards. In addition to averaging 24.6 points, Edwards can dominate the basketball and play lock-down defense, helping Purdue win the turnover battle frequently throughout the season.

Purdue only turns the ball over on 15.7 percent of possessions, the 23rd-best mark in Division I basketball. Plus, the Boilermakers have the luxury of going up against a conservative Maryland defense that only forces turnovers on 14.7 percent of possessions (347th in the nation). On the other side of the ball, Maryland tends to be a little careless, ranking 232nd by turning it over 19.6 percent of the time.

Who wins Purdue vs. Maryland? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model that has returned more than $5,000 to $100 players the last two years.

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