Tennessee vs. Wright State odds: 2018 NCAA Tournament picks from proven computer model

Third-seeded Tennessee takes on No. 14 seed Wright State in the first round of the 2018 NCAA Tournament. The game helps get March Madness started, tipping at 12:40 p.m. ET Thursday in Dallas. The Volunteers (25-8) opened as 13-point favorites over the Raiders (25-9), with the line dipping to -12. The over-under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 132.

But before take a side, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying. The advanced computer model has proven to be a go-to source for March Madness. Last year, it went a stunning 27-5 straight up on first-round games.

The computer simulates every game 10,000 times to determine a final score and player statistics and enters this week on an 11-1 run against the spread on top-rated picks.

Now, it has pinpointed key matchups in this Tennessee-Wright State matchup and generated an ATS pick that hits two-thirds of the time, making it top-rated by the computer. You need to see it before you lock in your picks.

The model knows each team has gotten this far thanks to a defense that ranks in the top 40 nationally in points allowed. Tennessee gives up just 66.1 points per game, while Wright State is at 65.7.

Tennessee was predicted to be 13th in the SEC preseason polls, but instead won a share of the regular-season title and lost to Kentucky in the SEC title game.

The Vols also beat Purdue and North Carolina, a pair of No. 2 seeds, in non-conference play. They've won six of seven heading into Thursday's tilt.

The Raiders, meanwhile, took second in the Horizon League, but cruised through the conference tournament to get an automatic berth.

They went 0-2 against 2018 NCAA Tournament teams this season, falling 84-80 to Loyola-Chicago and 80-61 Murray State. But they've won eight of 10 as Tennessee looms.

Each team is 18-13 against the spread, each is above 65 percent on a road/neutral court, and each has fared well in its current situation (Tennessee as favorite, Wright State as underdog).

So what side should you take on Tennessee-Wright State? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread hits two-thirds of the time and is a coveted top-rated pick, all from the computer model on an 11-1 ATS run on its top-rated picks.

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