Virginia vs. Miami odds: Advanced college basketball model releases strong picks

College hoops fans get a Tuesday treat when the Virginia Cavaliers visit the Miami Hurricanes at 9 p.m. ET in a nationally televised showdown. Virginia is favored by six points, up a half-point from the opening line. The over-under, or total number Vegas thinks will be scored, is 119, unchanged from the open.

In this huge ACC basketball showdown that could have major implications on NCAA Tournament seeding come March, you need to see what SportsLine's Projection Model has to say.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, completely crushed its top-rated college basketball picks last season, returning a profit of almost $6,600 on $100 bets for anybody who followed them.

That wasn't a fluke, either. The model entered the week on a strong 15-7 run on its college basketball point-spread picks. Anybody who has been following those picks is way, way up.

Now it has simulated Virginia vs. Miami 10,000 times and came up with some surprising results.

We can tell you the model loves the total going under, which is hitting in 72 percent of simulations. The model also has a strong spread pick, saying you can back one side almost 60 percent of the time. And you can only see that over at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account Virginia's strong recent performances. The top-ranked Cavaliers have won 15 of their past 16 games and are a remarkable 9-1 away from home this season.

They've done it thanks to an elite defense. The Cavaliers, who have held their opponents to 55 points or fewer in six of their past nine games, lead the country in scoring defense at 52.8 points.

But just because Virginia has smothered its opponents this season doesn't mean it will be able to go on the road and cover the spread.

Virginia has lost six of its past seven games on the road at Miami, while the Hurricanes are 11-2 in their past 13 games at home.

So what side of Virginia-Miami do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Virginia-Miami spread is cashing almost 60 percent of the time, all from the model that has absolutely crushed college hoops, and find out.

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