West Virginia vs. Iowa State odds: Expert who is 8-1 on Mountaineers games locks in picks

The erratic but talented West Virginia Mountaineers look to build on one of their best performances of the season when they host the Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday at 6 p.m. ET. West Virginia is listed as a massive 16-point sportsbook favorite, with the over-under for total points scored set at 147.

Before choosing a side, you should hear what SportsLine college basketball analyst Josh Nagel has to say. The veteran handicapper heads into the weekend on a 6-1 ATS run in college basketball picks for SportsLine, including four consecutive winners.

Nagel also has had a keen eye for the Big 12, as he has a strong recent history with both of these clubs. He is on an 11-3 ATS run in games involving West Virginia or Iowa State, which includes an 8-1 mark on the Mountaineers. 

Now, he's evaluated every angle of Saturday's tilt and locked in an against-the-spread pick.

Nagel knows West Virginia was once ranked as high as No. 2 in the country, but this club has a puzzling habit of looking like a Final Four contender in one game and a Big 12 cellar-dweller the next.

The peak-performing Mountaineers showed up in their last two games. Unfortunately, a late meltdown cost them a game against Kansas that they dominated most of the way. Coach Bob Huggins was ejected late in the 77-69 loss, which allowed the Jayhawks to cover a four-point spread.

Just a couple of days later, West Virginia rebounded to dominate a Baylor club that had won five in a row. The Mountaineers forced 14 turnovers and held the Bears to 32.8 percent shooting in a 71-60 road win. Jevon Carter and Esa Ahmad led the way with 15 points each.

West Virginia has four Big 12 home wins by at least 13 points this season, but its fragile side showed up at Iowa State in the first meeting three weeks ago. The Cyclones bolted to an early lead and never looked back in a 93-77 win as nine-point underdogs. Donovan Jackson had 25 points and seven assists.

Iowa State shot 62.1 percent from the field, mostly on layups, while consistently beating West Virginia's dogged pressure. It committed just eight turnovers and held the Mountaineers to 43.3 percent shooting. 

We can tell you Nagel is leaning Under, but he knows one team's schedule will determine which side of the spread prevails on Saturday. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Will the Mountaineers exact emphatic revenge Saturday with a big win and cover or will the Cyclones give another inspired performance, or at least stay within the spread? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Iowa State-West Virginia you should be all over Saturday, and which team's schedule determines the outcome, all from an expert who's 8-1 on Mountaineers games.

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