Wisconsin vs. Michigan State odds: Computer model locks in strong against the spread pick

Big Ten positioning is on the line Sunday afternoon when Michigan State visits Wisconsin for a 1 p.m. ET tip. You can catch all the action on CBS. The Spartans are favored by 7.5 points, unchanged from the opening line.

Before locking in your picks for this Big Ten battle, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.

Last season, the model was an impressive 755-636-20 on its A-rated picks, returning $6,529 to any $100 player who followed it.

That wasn't a fluke, either. With the NCAA Tournament just around the corner, the model is heating up, coming into the weekend on a blistering 14-5 run on top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who has been following it is way, way up.

Now the model has simulated Wisconsin vs. Michigan State 10,000 times and locked in its surprising picks.

We can tell you the model is calling for Wisconsin's Ethan Happ to score 14 points, while Miles Bridges of Michigan State, who has been cleared to play on Sunday, leads all scorers with 15. But will that be enough to lead the Spartans to a win and cover?

The model has a strong pick against the spread, saying you can count on one side nearly 70 percent of the time.You can get that pick only over at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account Michigan State's strong run through the Big Ten that has launched the Spartans to No. 2 in the nation and the top spot in the conference standings.

After starting Big Ten play 2-2, Michigan State has reeled off 11 consecutive wins thanks to a balanced attack. The Spartans are in the top 30 nationally in both scoring offense and defense. They are also sixth nationally in rebounds at 41.1 per game and lead the nation in assists per contest.

But just because Michigan State is playing well doesn't mean it will be able to cover a large spread on the road.

The Badgers, after a miserable start to conference play, have been surging. They've won three in a row and four of five overall, including a shocking 57-53 upset of Purdue.

Wisconsin's top-50 defense that gives up just 66.4 points per game could keep Sunday's tilt competitive, and the Badgers have covered their earlier meeting against Michigan State this season.

So which side of Wisconsin-Michigan State do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Wisconsin-Michigan State spread is cashing nearly 70 percent of the time, all from the model that has crushed college hoops.

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