2014 Prediction Machine simulation: FSU over Oregon in title game

Will Florida State be the first to hold up the College Football Playoff trophy? (USATSI)
Will Florida State be the first to hold up the College Football Playoff trophy? (USATSI)

CBS Conference previews: ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | SEC | Group of Five/Indep.

Our friends at PredictionMachine.com have run their official simulation for the 2014 regular season. Paul Bessire's machine, which simulates every game in a season 50,000 times, has produced what they are calling the most likely results for the first college football playoff.

PredictionMachine.com's College Football Playoff

Semifinals: Florida State 39, Ohio State 27; Oregon 38, Alabama 34

CFP Title Game: Florida State 41, Oregon 34

In the simulation, Baylor misses the playoff as a one-loss Big 12 champion and Wisconsin finishes the regular season with a high win-total but loses to Ohio State team in the Big Ten title game. Bessire has also provided the full list of conference title game results.

ACC: Florida State 42, North Carolina 17

Big Ten: Ohio State 33, Wisconsin 30

Big 12: Baylor (no championship game)

Pac-12: Oregon 45, UCLA 33 

SEC: Alabama 34, South Carolina 31

CUSA: Marshall 28, UTSA 24

MAC: Toledo 27, Bowling Green 24

MW: Utah State 29, San Diego State 23

Sun Belt: Louisiana Lafayette (no championship game)

In the American, the simulation predicts a tight race for the title between Houston, UCF and Cincinnati, with ECU around one game behind the trio. As for the title games above, a tight Alabama-South Carolina game would be must-see TV and I don't think anyone would complain if Oregon and UCLA rematched their Oct. 11 meeting with a CFP bid on the line. 

CBS Sports Writer

Chip Patterson has spent his young career covering college sports from the Old North State. He's been writing and talking about football and basketball for CBS Sports since 2010. You may have heard him... Full Bio

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