2015 Heisman Odds: TCU QB Trevone Boykin leaps Ezekiel Elliott
TCU's Trevone Boykin is now the slight favorite over Ezekiel Elliott to win the 2015 Heisman.
The latest batch of Heisman odds are out, courtesy of Bovada, and there are some notable changes to the favorites at the top. TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin is now the slight betting favorite as he has gone from 15-2 to 6-1 since the first batch of odds was released on January 30. Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott, previously the favorite, has slid from 6-1 to 7-1 just behind Boykin.
Also of note is the change to the odds of the three Buckeyes quarterbacks, which hints at who the oddsmakers feel will win the starting job. Braxton Miller has jumped up to 10-1 after opening at 18-1. Cardale Jones is listed now at 20-1 after opening at 14-1, and J.T. Barrett is down to 25-1 after opening at 16-1.
Other players that have made major leaps in the odds include Auburn QB Jeremy Johnson, who was not listed on the initial odds but is now tied for the third best odds at 10-1 with Miller and Georgia running back Nick Chubb. Clemson QB DeShaun Watson is also rising the list, jumping from 33-1 to now sitting at 16-1.
As a whole, running backs are trending down. This isn't too much of a surprise as the quarterback position has dominated the Heisman Trophy since 2000. Thirteen of the last 15 Heisman winners have been quarterbacks, with Mark Ingram (2009) as the last running back to win. Only Chubb -- up from 12-1 to 10-1 -- has seen his Heisman odds improve since Jan. 30. Every other running back has gone down.
Here is the full list of odds, via Bovada, as of July 7:
Trevone Boykin (QB TCU) 6-1
Ezekiel Elliott (RB Ohio State) 7-1
Braxton Miller (QB Ohio State) 10-1
Jeremy Johnson (QB Auburn) 10-1
Nick Chubb (RB Georgia) 10-1
Cody Kessler (QB USC) 12-1
Dak Prescott (QB Mississippi State) 12-1
Leonard Fournette (RB LSU) 14-1
Derrick Henry (RB Alabama) 16-1
Deshaun Watson (QB Clemson) 16-1
Cardale Jones (QB Ohio State) 20-1
Paul Perkins (RB UCLA) 20-1
Samaje Perine (RB Oklahoma) 20-1
Connor Cook (QB Michigan State) 25-1
Everett Golson (QB Florida State) 25-1
J.T. Barrett (QB Ohio State) 25-1
Royce Freeman (RB Oregon) 33-1
Seth Russell (QB Baylor) 33-1
Brad Kaaya (QB Miami) 40-1
Corey Clement (RB Wisconsin) 40-1
D.J. Foster (RB Arizona State) 40-1
Dalvin Cook (RB Florida State) 40-1
James Connor (RB Pittsburgh) 40-1
Justin Thomas (QB Georgia Tech) 40-1
Jared Goff (QB California) 50-1
Malik Zaire (QB Notre Dame) 50-1
Mason Rudolph (QB Oklahoma State) 50-1
Nick Wilson (RB Arizona) 50-1
Taysom Hill (QB BYU) 50-1
Jacoby Brissett (QB North Carolina State) 100-1
Jalen Hurd (RB Tennessee) 100-1
Marquise Williams (QB North Carolina) 100-1
Scooby Wright (LB Arizona) 100-1
Tyler Boyd (WR Pittsburgh) 100-1
A few thoughts:
• Despite his rise, I still think DeShaun Watson (QB Clemson) is a good value at 16-1.
• Betting a running back feels foolish, but if Leonard Fournette (RB LSU) continues to slide, he could become a good value. Fournette and Chubb (RB Georgia) are the two guys on this list that seem the most likely to put together the combination of numbers and highlights to get the buzz needed to win the Heisman. Remember when he destroyed that Texas A&M DB? Yeah, that's what I mean.
• As for the long shots, Justin Thomas (QB Georgia Tech) at 40-1 will have plenty of chances to put up big numbers on the ground and he's the best passing quarterback that Tech has had under Paul Johnson. That offense can put up numbers, and if the Yellow Jackets make a run to an ACC title he could catch serious Heisman buzz.
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