2017 College football bowl game odds, picks, predictions: Advanced computer model loves South Carolina, Miami
SportsLine's computer model simulated every college bowl game 10,000 times, with surprising results
The end of the 2017-2018 college football bowl season features a plethora of games that will attract bets from average Joes to professional bettors. Alabama is favored by three points against Clemson in the Sugar Bowl, South Carolina is a 7.5-point underdog against Michigan in the Outback Bowl, and Georgia is a 2.5-point favorite against Oklahoma in a Rose Bowl game that has already seen plenty of line movement.
With so many intriguing matchups and so many college football odds on the move, you'll want to know what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.
SportsLine's Projection Model turned in double-digit profitable weeks last season across all college football picks and had an astonishing 8-1 record on Championship Weekend. Anybody who followed its picks reaped a huge payday.
This same model has crushed money-line picks the past two bowl seasons, including a 10-1 record on A-rated picks during that span. It already nailed Fresno State's upset over Houston in the Hawaii Bowl.
Now, it has simulated every bowl game 10,000 times, including Round 3 of Alabama vs. Clemson, and reveals the point-spread winner for each game.
We can tell you the model loves South Carolina, a 7.5-point underdog against Michigan in the Outback Bowl, to stay within the spread. Michigan will emerge victorious, but it'll be a 21-18 nail-biter. The Gamecocks are covering the spread in 61 percent of simulations, so back the SEC squad with confidence in Monday's Outback Bowl.
Michigan comes into the Outback Bowl losers of two straight, and three of their last six. Meanwhile, South Carolina's last two losses came against teams in the College Football Playoff.
At 39 projected points, the model is leaning Under (42.5) in the Outback Bowl as well; it's hitting in 61 percent of simulations. That's in contrast to the general public, who is backing the Under just 47 percent of the time.
Another team the model loves: Miami (FL), who faces Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl. Miami is a six-point underdog in a game that will be played in its own backyard at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.
SportsLine's advanced projection model says Wisconsin will win, but it'll be a lot closer than Vegas thinks. In fact, it's calling for a 22-20 Badgers victory, keeping the Hurricanes well within the spread.
Mark Richt and company are covering the spread in 58 percent of simulations, and Wisconsin only wins outright 55 percent of the time. Tread lightly before backing the Big Ten team.
The computer also loves the Under (44.5) in the Orange Bowl, saying it hits almost 60 percent of the time. Go against the public, who is backing the Under less than half the time.
It's also calling for a Vegas favorite to get absolutely shocked against an unsuspecting underdog that is ready to play spoiler. This underdog is almost a lock to cover the spread and is actually projected to win outright. Find out who it is at SportsLine.
So who should you back in every bowl game? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to get every against the spread pick from the model that crushed Championship Weekend with an 8-1 record and had double-digit profitable weeks last season, plus find out which side of Clemson-Alabama is a virtual lock.
TaxSlayer Bowl: Louisville vs. Mississippi State (+7, 63)
Liberty Bowl: Iowa State vs. Memphis (-4, 66.5)
Fiesta Bowl: Washington vs. Penn State (-2.5, 54.5)
Orange Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Miami (Fla.) (+6, 44.5)
Outback Bowl: Michigan vs. South Carolina (+7.5, 42.5)
Peach Bowl: Central Florida vs. Auburn (-10, 67.5)
Citrus Bowl: Notre Dame vs. LSU (-3, 51.5)
Rose Bowl: Georgia vs. Oklahoma (+2.5, 60)
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Clemson (+3, 47)
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