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USATSI

The UCF Knights' high-flying offense will try to put on a show on Tuesday against the 13th-ranked BYU Cougars in the 2020 Boca Raton Bowl at FAU Stadium. UCF (6-3) is having a disappointing year by its lofty standards, but the passing game has kept fans entertained, with quarterback Dillon Gabriel leading the nation's No. 2 passing offense and a unit that scores more than 44 points per game. The Cougars (10-1) have never won in the state of Florida, but they come in with an offense that is nearly UCF's equal and a defense that is among the nation's best. 

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET in Boca Raton, Fla. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Cougars as six-point favorites in the latest BYU vs. UCF odds, while the over-under for total points scored is up to 78.5 after opening at 69.5. Before making any UCF vs. BYU picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on BYU vs. Central Florida in the Boca Raton Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Central Florida vs. BYU:

  • BYU vs. UCF: Cougars -6
  • BYU vs. UCF over-under: 78.5
  • BYU vs. UCF money line: Knights +205, Cougars -250
  • UCF: WR Jaylon Robinson has topped 100 yards in six of nine games, with a high of 173.
  • BYU: TE Isaac Rex has scored 10 touchdowns this season, with nine in his past six starts.

Why BYU can cover

Quarterback Zach Wilson leads an offense that averages nearly 41 points per game, and BYU is 6-4-1 against the spread this season. The junior is third in the nation in passing yards (3,267) and tied for third with Gabriel with 30 TD passes, and he has elite receivers in Dax Milne (63 receptions, eight TDs) and Gunner Romney (19.9 yards per catch). The Knights defense ranks 120th in the nation against the pass (283.4 yards per game) and gives up more than 31 points per contest.

The Cougars defense, meanwhile, allows only 14.7 points per game (second in FBS) and ranks fifth in total yards (304.5). The Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last six after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game, and BYU averages 180.5 on the ground, led by Tyler Allgeier (957 yards, 7.3 per carry) and Lopini Katoa (5.5 per attempt). The defense is led by linebacker Isaiah Kaufusi, who has four sacks, an interception and three fumble recoveries.

Why UCF can cover

UCF is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight as an underdog, and the offense averages 585.6 yards per game. Gabriel has 3,353 passing yards (third in the nation) and 30 TD passes (tied for third) with four interceptions. He threw for 336 yards and four TDs in a 58-46 win against USF in the last game, and Bentavious Thompson put up his first 100-yard rushing game with 110. Greg McCrae (681 yards, nine TDs) and Otis Anderson (614 yards) fill out quite a stable of backs.

The Knights, who are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, also have an impressive array of receivers. Jaylon Robinson (935 yards), Jacob Harris (seven TDs) and Ryan O'Keefe (20.2 yards per catch) all get at least 18 yards per reception. The Knights defense's numbers are skewed by how much time it spends on the field. Ends Landon Woodson and Tre'Mon Morris-Brash combined for five sacks against USF, and Wilson has been taken down 29 times.

How to make BYU vs. UCF picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, suggesting sacks and turnovers will play a role in keeping the score in the lower 70s. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins UCF vs. BYU? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the BYU vs. UCF spread to back Tuesday, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.