clayton-tune-houston.jpg
USATSI

The Marshall Thundering Herd will look to continue their mastery of the Buffalo Bulls when they meet in the 2020 Camellia Bowl on Friday. The Thundering Herd (7-2) have won eight of nine against the Bulls (5-1), including all six when both teams played together in the Mid-American Conference from 1999 to 2004. Buffalo's only win over Marshall was 37-12 on Nov. 21, 1959. The Bulls are looking for their second bowl victory in school history. Buffalo beat Charlotte in the 2019 Bahamas Bowl.

Game time from Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala., is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Marshall has won 14 consecutive games when holding the opposition to under 100 rushing yards. The Bulls are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Marshall vs. Buffalo odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 54.5. Before making any Buffalo vs. Marshall picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Buffalo vs. Marshall in the Camellia Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Marshall vs. Buffalo:

  • Marshall vs. Buffalo spread: Buffalo -4.5
  • Marshall vs. Buffalo over-under: 54.5 points
  • Marshall vs. Buffalo money line: Marshall +170, Buffalo -200
  • MAR: The Thundering Herd have won 32 of their last 34 games when scoring first
  • BUF: The Bulls have been in the red zone 25 times this season and have scored 22 touchdowns

Why Buffalo can cover

Big plays haven't been limited just to the Bulls' offense. Buffalo's defense scored on a 42-yard and 46-yard fumble recovery and a 65-yard interception return in the opener at Northern Illinois. In addition, Tyrone Hill blocked a field goal attempt and returned it for a 63-yard score. Junior linebacker James Patterson leads the Bulls in tackles with 54, including 24 solo. He also has broken up two passes, intercepted one for 10 yards and forced one fumble.

Senior defensive end Malcolm Koonce leads the Bulls with five sacks for 32 yards. He is third on the team in tackles with 30, including 16 solo, and two pass breakups. He registered a season-high two sacks on Nov. 17 at Bowling Green. In the MAC Championship Game against Ball State, Koonce recorded six tackles, including two solo, with one sack. For his career, Koonce has 109 tackles, including 61 solo, with 18 sacks, four forced fumbles and three pass breakups.

Why Marshall can cover

The Thundering Herd have been stout on defense this year and rank second nationally in rushing defense (88.9 yards per game) and third in total defense (277.7 yards per game). Senior linebacker Tavante Beckett leads Marshall with 90 tackles, including 31 solo. He has registered 2.5 sacks for 13 yards and one pass breakup. Beckett has also forced two fumbles and recovered four, returning one for a score. Against UAB in the Conference USA Championship Game, he recorded 13 stops, including two solo.

Junior defensive lineman Darius Hodge has raised havoc in opposing backfields. He leads the Thundering Herd with 6.5 sacks for 47 yards, forced one fumble and recovered another. He is third on the team with 56 tackles, including 15 solo. He has had back-to-back games with double-digit tackles. In the regular-season finale against Rice, he made a season-high 14 tackles with three solo. He followed that up with 11 tackles and a half-sack against UAB.

How to make Marshall vs. Buffalo picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, as the simulations show the teams combining for fewer than 50 points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Buffalo vs. Marshall? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Marshall vs. Buffalo spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.