The 21st-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys will turn to their defense to slow down the potent offense of the 18th-ranked Miami Hurricanes in the 2020 Cheez-It Bowl on Tuesday in Orlando. The Cowboys (7-3) will be without top rusher Chuba Hubbard, who is preparing for the NFL Draft, so a defense that allows 22.4 points per game will try to step up against quarterback D'Eriq King and the Hurricanes (8-2). Miami scores 34 points per game, but OSU quarterback Spencer Sanders and receiver Tylan Wallace also have shown they can make big plays. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET at Camping World Stadium. The Cowboys are a one-point favorite in the latest Oklahoma State vs. Miami odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 62. Before you consider any Miami vs. Oklahoma State picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma State vs. Miami in the Cheez-It Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Miami vs. Oklahoma State:

  • Oklahoma State vs. Miami: Hurricanes +1
  • Oklahoma State vs. Miami over-under: 62
  • Oklahoma State vs. Miami money line: Cowboys -115, Hurricanes -105
  • OSU: WR Tylan Wallace had at least 68 receiving yards in all eight games he started this season.
  • MIA: QB D'Eriq King has thrown for at least 239 yards in five straight games, with 12 TDs over that span.

Why Oklahoma State can cover

Oklahoma State has covered the spread in four straight bowl games while the Hurricanes are 1-8 ATS in their past nine in the postseason. Oklahoma State's defense has scored four times this year and has 32 sacks and 14 takeaways. The Cowboys also ranks second in the nation in third-down defense (26.3 percent), and they allow just 205.3 passing yards per game (34th in FBS). Linebackers Amen Ogbongbemiga and Malcolm Rodriguez have combined for 149 tackles and 5.5 sacks.  

The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games, and six of Sanders' 10 TD passes have gone to Wallace. The receiver has 877 yards in eight starts, averaging 16.5 per catch, and Dillon Stoner had 247 receiving yards on eight catches in a 42-3 win against Baylor to close the season. The Hurricanes rank 83rd in the nation in rushing defense (180.6 per game), and freshman Dominic Richardson reeled off 169 yards and three scores against Baylor.

Why Miami can cover

Miami is 5-0 against the spread in its last five games after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in its previous game, and the Cowboys can't match UNC's stable of backs. The Hurricanes have plenty of talent on defense, including safeties Bubba Bolden (interception, four forced fumbles) and Amari Carter (two fumble recoveries). The unit has 28 sacks and 16 takeaways, and sophomore linebacker Gilbert Frierson (two sacks, fumble recovery) can make big plays.

The Hurricanes are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games against a Big 12 opponent, and the offense scores 34 points per game. King has thrown for 2,573 and is second on the team with 520 rushing yards, accounting for 26 touchdowns. Receiver Mike Harley and tight end Brevin Jordan both average at least 14.9 yards per catch and have combined for 79 receptions and 11 touchdowns. Cam'ron Harris is the team's top rusher with 591 yards and nine TDs.

How to make Miami vs. Oklahoma State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, as the simulations show the teams combining for 66 points. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Oklahoma State vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Miami vs. Oklahoma State spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.