The UAB Blazers waited six weeks for the opportunity to clinch their third consecutive Conference USA West Division title, and they made sure not to waste it. After losing at Louisiana Tech in double overtime on Oct. 31, UAB had four games canceled due to the coronavirus pandemic and also sat through a bye week before defeating Rice on the road last Saturday to take the division crown. The Blazers attempt to capture the conference title for the second time in three years when they visit the Marshall Thundering Herd in the Conference USA Championship Game on Friday. Kickoff on CBS Sports Network from Joan C. Edwards Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET.
UAB (5-3, 3-1 C-USA) edged Middle Tennessee 27-25 in 2018 for the conference championship before being trounced 49-6 by Florida Atlantic in last year's title game. Marshall (7-1, 4-1), which endured a 20-0 home loss against Rice on Dec. 5, is seeking its second C-USA championship after topping Louisiana Tech 26-23 in 2014. The Thundering Herd are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Marshall vs. UAB odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 44. Before making any UAB vs. Marshall picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also a sizzling 54-34 on all top-rated picks through 15 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $600. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Marshall vs. UAB in the Conference USA Championship Game 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for UAB vs. Marshall:
- Marshall vs. UAB spread: Thundering Herd -4.5
- Marshall vs. UAB over-under: 44 points
- Marshall vs. UAB money line: Thundering Herd -200, Blazers +170
- MAR: The Thundering Herd are 4-14 against the spread in their last 18 games as home favorites
- UAB: The Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven contests against teams with a winning record
Why Marshall can cover
After setting career highs with 336 yards and five touchdown passes against Middle Tennessee on Nov. 14, Grant Wells had three weeks off before playing again, and the rust showed. The freshman quarterback threw for only 165 yards against Rice and was intercepted five times after being picked off on four occasions over his first seven games. Wells is hoping to return to his previous form on Friday as he looks to connect with his receivers early and often.
Wells has found nine different players for 16 touchdowns this year, with sophomore wideout Corey Gammage hauling in a team-high four scoring passes. Gammage also leads the Thundering Herd with 27 catches while tight end Xavier Gaines tops the club with 328 receiving yards. A senior, Gaines has three TDs among his 25 receptions over eight games in 2020, matching his TD total in 13 contests last season.
Why UAB can cover
The Blazers outgained Rice 137-66 on the ground on Saturday despite being without top running back Spencer Brown, who did not play due to COVID-19 issues. The senior is second in the nation among active rushers with 3,862 yards and leads UAB with 740 this season. Brown, who has run for 10 touchdowns, is averaging 105.7 yards per game after hitting triple digits in five of his seven contests in 2020.
Also missing last weekend because of the coronavirus was DeWayne McBride, who is second on the Blazers with 396 rushing yards and four TDs. The freshman has gained at least 130 yards in two of his last three games, running for 133 and a pair of scores in his last outing on Oct. 31 against Louisiana Tech. Gerrit Prince leads UAB with four receiving touchdowns and fellow senior tight end Hayden Pittman has made a catch in 24 consecutive contests.
How to make Marshall vs. UAB picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under the total as both quarterbacks throw for under 200 yards in the simulations. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Marshall vs. UAB? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UAB vs. Marshall spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.