The Appalachian State Mountaineers will look to bottle up the North Texas Mean Green passing attack when they meet in the 2020 Myrtle Beach Bowl on Monday. The Mountaineers (8-3) are the only FBS team allowing its opponents to complete less than 50 percent of their passes, and they lead the nation with 70 pass breakups. Appalachian State is allowing opponents to complete just 46.6 percent of their passes. North Texas enters the game with the 22nd-best passing offense in the nation at 284.8 yards per game, but will be without top receiver Jaelon Darden, who declared for the NFL Draft and will skip this game.
The game from the Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C., is slated to start at 2:30 p.m. ET. North Texas is averaging 35.1 points per game, 23rd-best in the country, while Appalachian State averages 31.8, 41st-best. The Mountaineers are favored by 21 points in the latest Appalachian State vs. North Texas odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is up to 67 after opening at 62. Before making any North Texas vs. Appalachian State picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also a sizzling 54-34 on all top-rated picks through 15 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $600. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on App. State vs. North Texas in the Myrtle Beach Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for North Texas vs. App. State:
- Appalachian State vs. North Texas spread: Appalachian State -21
- Appalachian State vs. North Texas over-under: 67 points
- Appalachian State vs. North Texas money line: Appalachian State -1100, North Texas +700
- AS: Is one of just three programs to have won eight or more games in each of the last six seasons. The other two are Alabama and Clemson
- NT: When rushing for 150 or more yards, the Mean Green are 23-8 under coach Seth Littrell
Why Appalachian State can cover
Quarterback Zac Thomas and the Mountaineers passing offense have had a lot of success this season and a big reason is because of the play of two senior wide receivers. Thomas Hennigan and Malik Williams have combined for more than 1,000 yards receiving and six touchdowns. Hennigan leads the team with 45 receptions for 571 yards (12.7 average) and three TDs. He's had at least one reception in every game and at least three in eight of 11 games. His best game was in the season opener against Charlotte, when he caught five passes for 120 yards (24.0 average) and one TD.
Williams is second on the team with 41 receptions for 536 yards (13.1 average) and three touchdowns. Williams has had at least two receptions in all 10 games he's played in, including a seven-catch, 113-yard and one-TD game against Troy on Nov. 28. In four seasons with the Mountaineers, Williams has 138 receptions for 1,563 yards (11.3 average) and 10 touchdowns. His best year was last season when he had 55 catches for 598 yards (10.9 average) and four scores.
Why North Texas can cover
Despite that, the Mountaineers are not a lock to cover the Appalachian State vs. North Texas spread. That's because the Mean Green can light up the scoreboard and enter play averaging 35.1 points per game, 24th-best in FBS. Senior running back Deandre Torrey leads the team in rushing, carrying 113 times for 656 yards (5.8 average) and six touchdowns. He has two 100-plus rushing games, including a 13-carry, 143-yard and two-touchdown performance against Middle Tennessee State on Oct. 17.
North Texas' top weapon in the passing game was Darden. But looking to step up is sophomore wide receiver Deonte Simpson, who has 25 receptions for 517 yards (20.7 average) and four touchdowns. He is coming off a four-reception, 103-yard and one-touchdown performance against UTEP. His best game was on Oct. 3 against Southern Mississippi. In that game, he made five catches for 113 yards (22.6 average) and a score.
How to make Appalachian State vs. North Texas picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Appalachian State running backs will rush for well over 200 yards and two scores, while North Texas quarterback Jason Bean will throw for more than 200 yards and two scores. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins North Texas vs. Appalachian State? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Appalachian State vs. North Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its FBS college football picks over the past four seasons, and find out.