Bryce Young and No. 5 Alabama (5-1) travel to play Will Rogers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2) on Saturday evening. Both quarterbacks come into this matchup ranked in the top 11 nationally in passing touchdowns and passing yards in the country. Rogers averages 372.4 passing yards per game, while Young averages 289 passing yards per contest.
Kickoff from David Wade Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET. The latest Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Crimson Tide at -17. The over-under for total points is set at 58.5. Before locking in any Mississippi State vs. Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Mississippi State and released its coveted picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Mississippi State vs. Alabama:
- Alabama vs. Mississippi State spread: Alabama -17
- Alabama vs. Mississippi State over-under: 58.5 points
- Alabama vs. Mississippi State money line: Bulldogs +600, Crimson Tide -900
- ALA: The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss
- MSU: The under is 7-1 in Mississippi State's last eight games following a bye week
Why Alabama can cover
Young is a big threat through the air, but Alabama is strong on the ground too. The Crimson Tide offense averages 161.7 yards of rushing per game. This rushing attack is led by redshirt senior Brian Robinson Jr. He leads Alabama with 97 carries for 526 yards and six scores. Robinson Jr. is also averaging a team-high 105.2 rushing yards per game. The Alabama native has been playing particularly well the past two weeks.
Against Ole Miss, he had a season-high 36 carries for 171 yards and four touchdowns. The following week against Texas A&M, Robinson Jr. had 24 carries for 147 yards. He also snagged four passes for 60 yards. Robinson Jr. will look to continue his hot streak and gash the Bulldog defense.
Why Mississippi State can cover
Mississippi State has one of the best passing attacks in the nation. Rogers is seventh in the country with 1,862 passing yards on the season. He has completed 75 percent of his throws with 14 passing touchdowns. Rogers has topped 400 passing yards in two games so far.
Against Texas A&M in Week 5, Rogers put on a show. He went 46-of-59 for 408 yards with three passing touchdowns. The Bulldogs went into College Station and defeated Texas A&M 26-22. In the game prior against LSU, Rogers had another stellar day, going 47-of-62 for 371 yards and three touchdowns. Despite this stellar performance, the Bulldogs fell to the Tigers 28-25. Rogers and the Mississippi State passing attack can give the Crimson Tide defense trouble on Saturday night.
How to make Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting 59 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Alabama vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.