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The top game of the day in college football will take place on Saturday night when No. 3 Alabama hosts No. 11 Texas. Alabama opened the season with a 56-7 win over Middle Tennessee last week, covering the 39.5-point spread. Texas got past Rice in a 37-10 final, but it failed to cover the spread as a 35.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide escaped with a 20-19 road win at Texas last season.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa. The latest Alabama vs. Texas odds via SportsLine consensus list the Crimson Tide as 7-point favorites, with the over/under at 53.5, which is down 3.5 points from the opener (57). Before making any Alabama vs. Texas picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. The proprietary computer model is off to a fast 4-2 start on all-top rated college football picks this season. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Texas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Texas vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Texas spread: Alabama -7
  • Alabama vs. Texas over/under: 53.5 points
  • Alabama vs. Texas money line: Alabama -287, Texas +231
  • TEX: The Longhorns are 8-6 against the spread since 2022
  • BAMA: The Crimson Tide are 7-6-1 against the spread since 2022
  • Alabama vs. Texas picks: See picks at SportsLine 

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have stellar units on both sides of the ball, and few FBS programs can claim superior history against Alabama. Texas is 7-2-1 all-time against Alabama, and the Longhorns fell by a narrow one-point margin last year in a game in which starting quarterback Quinn Ewers suffered a mid-game injury. On defense, the Longhorns held Rice to 176 total yards last week, and Rice produced only 27 rushing yards on 25 carries. Last season, Texas finished at or near the top of the Big 12 in points allowed (21.2 per game), yards allowed per pass (6.4), yards allowed per rush (3.3), passing yards allowed and sacks. 

Alabama must replace standout quarterback Bryce Young, leaving uncertainty, and Texas has more stability at the most important position. In addition to quality depth, Texas has Ewers, who led Texas to 37 points last week and racked up four touchdowns in the process. Texas scored 34.5 points per game last season while throwing only seven interceptions over the full schedule, and the Longhorns have myriad talented options in the backfield and in the wide receiver room, headlined by Xavier WorthySee which team to pick at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

Alabama head coach Nick Saban holds a 28-2 all-time record when coaching against one of his former assistants, and he will be facing one in Steve Sarkisian on Saturday. The Crimson Tide committed 15 penalties against Texas last year, and they were still able to escape with a win. Starting quarterback Jalen Milroe accounted for five total touchdowns against Middle Tennessee last week, completing 13 of 18 passes.

Texas looked much shakier in Week 1, scoring just 16 points in the first half of its win over Rice. Ewers completed 19 of 30 passes and was sacked twice in that game, rushing eight times for 12 yards. Alabama has covered the spread in five of its last six September games, while Texas has lost five of its last seven games against SEC opponents. See which team to pick at SportsLine

How to make Texas vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 59 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Alabama vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of almost $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.