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There's a four-way tie atop the 2024 MAC standings and two of those teams will go head-to-head on Tuesday night when the Bowling Green Falcons host the Western Michigan Broncos for MACtion. Both teams are 5-4 overall and 4-1 in conference play and the winner will take a big step towards playing in the 2024 MAC Championship Game at Ford Field in Detroit. Bowling Green has won the last two meetings with Western Michigan but failed to cover as a 5-point home favorite (13-9) the last time it hosted.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio, where BGSU is 2-2 on the season. The Falcons are favored by 9.5 points in the latest Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan odds and the over/under is 57.5 points. Before entering any Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a strong 18-12 on all top-rated picks over the past six seven of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green:

  • Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan spread: Bowling Green -9.5
  • Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan over/under: 57.5 points
  • Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan money line: Bowling Green -342, Western Michigan +266
  • Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan picks: See picks here
  • Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)  

Why Western Michigan can cover

The Broncos are coming off their first conference loss of the season last week, dropping a 42-28 decision to the Northern Illinois Huskies. Western Michigan put up 390 yards of total offense and the two-headed rushing attack of Jaden Nixon (12-95-2) and Jalen Buckley (16-80-0) were tough to stop, but the Broncos were inevitably undone by three interceptions.

However, that was the first time since a season-opening loss against Wisconsin that Western Michigan lost the turnover battle and during conference play the Broncos are still +7 in turnover differential. Hayden Wolff has only thrown two interceptions outside of last week and his 8.3 yards per pass attempt lead the conference, so expect a bounce-back performance on Tuesday. See which team to pick here.

Why Bowling Green can cover

The Falcons have been to a bowl game in each of the last two seasons and now they're in a position to compete for the conference title for the first time in Scott Loeffler's six seasons running the program. Bowling Green is coming off a 23-13 win over Central Michigan last week and it was a dominant defensive performance, with the Chippewas limited to 224 yards of total offense and just 63 passing yards.

Ali Saad had six tackles, two tackles for loss and a forced fumble in the victory and the fourth-year defensive lineman is one of four players on the roster with at least six tackles for loss this season. Charles Rosser, Anthony Hawkins and Joseph Sipp Jr. are the other three and each player in that trio has at least four sacks on the season as well. Bowling Green has limited three of its last four opponents to under 300 yards of total offense. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan picks

The model has simulated Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.