The BYU Cougars and the Utah State Aggies will meet Friday night in front of the Aggie faithful with the "Old Wagon Wheel" up for grabs in this in-state rivalry. Utah State (3-1) will look to hand the Cougars their first loss of the year, while BYU (4-0) is eyeing its fifth straight win. Utah State dropped its last game against Boise State, while BYU beat South Florida.
Kickoff on CBS Sports Network is set for 9 p.m. ET in Logan, Utah. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Cougars as 9.5-point favorites in the latest BYU vs. Utah State odds. The over-under for total points is up to 65 after opening at 57.5. Before finalizing any Utah State vs. BYU picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, it also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- BYU vs. Utah State spread: BYU -9.5
- BYU vs. Utah State over-under: 65 points
- BYU vs. Utah State money line: BYU -360, USU +285
- BYU: Under is 5-0 in Cougars last five games vs. a team with a winning record
- USU: Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home
Why BYU can cover
Utah State's defense has struggled to stop the run, allowing 199.8 rush yards per game. The Cougars are hoping to welcome back sophomore quarterback Jaren Hall, who missed the last game with an undisclosed injury. He can put pressure on the Aggie defense from all fronts. Hall brings a different dynamic to the Cougar offense because of the threat he presents with his feet. The sophomore quarterback averages 8.3 yards per carry.
Sophomore running back Tyler Allgeier is averaging 4.3 yards per rush, while averaging 86.5 rushing yards per game. The Aggie defense has allowed 5.3 yards per rush, so expect the BYU offense to attack this weakness. A dominant run game will help ease Hall back in.
Why Utah State can cover
The Aggies have the No. 10 ranked offense in the nation, averaging 529.3 yards per game. Utah State has established a run game, averaging 210 yards a game, with 5.0 yards per carry. The leading tailback in the Aggie backfield is junior Calvin Tyler Jr. He leads the Aggies in carries and rushing yards with 67 carries for 414 yards and four touchdowns.
Tyler Jr. averages a team-high 103.5 rushing yards per game. The junior back has recorded back-to-back 100-yard games against Air Force and Boise State. Against Air Force, Tyler Jr. ran for a season-high 132 yards on 19 carries for two touchdowns. Teams average 153.8 rushing yards per game against BYU, so expect Utah State to establish a run game.
How to make Utah State vs. BYU picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins BYU vs. Utah State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.