The Utah State Aggies will try to win their third game in the last four tries at Provo, Utah, against the No. 19 BYU Cougars in the battle for the 2022 Old Wagon Wheel trophy on Thursday night. The Aggies (1-3) have struggled since earning a 31-20 win over UConn to start the season. They have losses to Alabama (55-0), Weber State (35-7) and UNLV (34-24) over the past four weeks. The Cougars (3-1) started the season off fast with wins over South Florida (50-21) and Baylor (26-20) before losing at Oregon (41-20) on Sept. 17. BYU bounced back last week with a 38-24 win over Wyoming.

Kickoff from LaVell Edwards Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. BYU averages 457.5 yards per game in 2022, while Utah State averages 345.5. The Cougars are favored by 24 points in the latest Utah State vs. BYU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 59.5. Before making any BYU vs. Utah State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. BYU and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for BYU vs. Utah State:

  • Utah State vs. BYU spread: BYU -24
  • Utah State vs. BYU over/under: 59.5 points 
  • Utah State vs. BYU money line: Utah State +1250, BYU -2800
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games against a team with a winning home record 
  • BYU: The Under is 7-1 in the Cougars' last eight Thursday games 
  • Utah State vs. BYU picks: See picks here
Featured Game | BYU Cougars vs. Utah State Aggies

Why BYU can cover

Redshirt junior Jaren Hall has already thrown for 1,164 yards and nine touchdowns vs. one interception in four games this season. Hall has been named to watch lists for the Maxwell Award, Davey O'Brien Award, Walter Camp Award, Manning Award, CFPA National Performer of the Year and the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award. He has six career 300-yard games, including in each of the past two games. He threw for 337 yards and four touchdowns in last week's win over Wyoming, and tossed for 305 yards and two touchdowns in the loss at Oregon on Sept. 17.

Also powering the offense is senior running back Christopher Brooks, a transfer from Cal. He has carried 38 times for 204 yards (5.4 average) and three touchdowns, and has six receptions for 38 yards (6.3 average). Brooks was a four-year contributor at Cal, leading the Golden Bears in rushing in both 2019 and 2021. In four years there, he rushed for 1,734 yards and 14 touchdowns, while catching another 50 passes for 345 yards and seven TDs.

Why Utah State can cover 

The Aggies have a pair of senior wide receivers who have turned into big-time threats on offense. Brian Cobbs is the team's leading receiver with 18 catches for 241 yards (13.4 average) and one touchdown. In last week's loss to UNLV, Cobbs caught six passes for 83 yards. His best game was in the season opener against Connecticut, when he caught eight passes for 108 yards and one touchdown.

Also off to a solid start to the season is Justin McGriff. He has caught 13 passes for 204 yards (15.7 average) and a pair of touchdowns. He had six receptions for 103 yards (17.2 average) and one score in last week's loss to UNLV. In three seasons with the Aggies, McGriff has 63 receptions for 803 yards (12.7 average) and 10 touchdowns.

How to make Utah State vs. BYU picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting 64 combined points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Utah State vs. BYU? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. BYU spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up more than $3,100 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.