College football championship week odds: Advanced computer model picks Big Ten, SEC, ACC title games
SportsLine simulated every college football championship game 10,000 times, with surprising results
It's conference championship week in college football! The champions of the SEC, ACC, Pac-12, Big 12, Big Ten, MAC, American Athletic Conference, Conference USA and Mountain West will all be determined. Average Joes and professional bettors alike will come out in droves.
Ohio State is a six-point favorite against Wisconsin, Oklahoma is a seven-point favorite against TCU and Auburn is a 1.5-point favorite over Georgia in an SEC Championship Game that could serve as a play-in game for the College Football Playoff.
With championships on the line and so many college football odds on the move in Week 14, you'll want to know what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.
SportsLine's Projection Model turned in double-digit profitable weeks last season across all college football picks and is on a smoking 33-8 run picking Top 25 games straight up over the past two weeks. Anybody following those picks has seen huge paydays.
It's fresh off a week in which it called Washington's victory and cover over rival Washington State in a top-15 showdown. It also nailed the final margin of Ohio State's victory over Michigan within a single point.
This week, the model simulated all the college football conference title games 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.
In the Big Ten, the model is calling for Ohio State to roll to a victory and cover against Wisconsin in a 28-19 decision.
Wisconsin (12-0) has the better record, but many view Ohio State as the more tested and talented team. The Badgers have made their living shutting down the run, ranking first in the Big Ten in rush defense (80.5 yards per game), but the model projects that Ohio State will put up close to 200 yards on the ground on its way to a win that will shake up the College Football Playoff Rankings.
In the AAC, the model likes Central Florida (-7) to beat Memphis, but it'll be closer than Vegas thinks.
These are two of the hottest teams in college football and both roll into the AAC title game in the top 20 of the Associated Press poll. Not surprisingly, both head coaches -- Scott Frost (UCF) and Mike Norvell (Memphis) -- are being linked to other jobs.
But, at least for one more week, they'll be looking for a conference title. SportsLine's proven computer model says UCF wins a shootout 41-35. The Knights are winning straight up 58 percent of the time, but the model has the Tigers covering the spread 52 percent of the time.
And the model is also calling for a big scare in the ACC, where Clemson will escape with a 22-17 victory against Miami, but the Hurricanes (+9.5) cover the spread in 59 percent of simulations. Look for Miami coach Mark Richt, who was 3-1 against Clemson while at Georgia, to lead the Hurricanes in a competitive ACC title game that will be closer than Vegas thinks.
Look for the under (46.5) to hit in the ACC Championship Game as well. It's hitting in 70 percent of simulations at SportsLine, whereas only 33 percent of the public is backing the under.
The model is also calling for a team with legitimate playoff aspirations to suffer a crushing loss, sending ripples up and down the college football rankings. Find out who it is over at SportsLine.
What college football picks can you make with confidence on Championship Weekend? Check out the college football odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, plus see which side of the huge SEC title game between Georgia and Auburn is a virtual lock, all from the model that turned in double-digit winning weeks last season and is on a sizzling 33-8 run on its Top 25 straight-up picks over the past two weeks, as well as picks from 16 experts.
Pac-12 Championship Game: Stanford vs. Southern California (-4, 59.5)
Conference USA Championship Game: North Texas @ Florida Atlantic (-11.5, 73)
MAC Championship Game: Akron vs. Toledo (-21, 58.5)
Big 12 Championship Game: Oklahoma vs. TCU (-7, 63.5)
SEC Championship Game: Georgia vs. Auburn (-1.5, 48)
Mountain West Championship Game: Fresno State vs. Boise State (-9, 50)
ACC Championship Game: Clemson vs. Miami (+9, 46.5)
Big Ten Championship Game: Ohio State vs. Wisconsin (+6, 51)
AAC Championship Game: Memphis at Central Florida (-7, 81)
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