College football odds, picks, lines for 2018 Bowl Games: Advanced computer model loving Boise State, Georgia
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every college football bowl game 10,000 times
The 2018-19 college football bowl schedule begins on Saturday with five games. Amateur and professional bettors alike have been surveying the latest college football bowl odds and locking in their 2018 bowl picks. News that West Virginia quarterback Will Grier will sit out the 2018 Camping World Bowl to focus on the NFL Draft has dramatically swung the line. After opening as 6.5-point favorites, No. 16 West Virginia is now just a 1.5-point favorite over No. 20 Syracuse. And in Saturday's New Mexico Bowl, Utah State opened as an 11-point favorite over North Texas, but is now only laying eight. With college football odds swinging already, you'll want to see the live-updated 2018-19 college football bowl picks from the advanced computer model at SportsLine before locking in any plays of your own.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.
The model made some huge calls on Championship Week, including nailing Ohio State (-16.5) against Northwestern and Oklahoma (-9.5) against Texas. And when it comes to all top-rated picks, the model has been red-hot, entering the 2018 college football bowl season on a blistering 45-25 run. Anybody who has followed it is way, way up.
Now it has simulated every single play 10,000 times and its 2018 college football bowl picks and predictions are in.
One of the top college football bowl picks the model is extremely high on: No. 6 Georgia (-11.5) covers against No. 14 Texas in the 2019 Sugar Bowl on New Year's Day.
The No. 5 Bulldogs fell just short against top-ranked Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, and some felt they had a compelling case to be included in the playoff field after their strong showing. The committee disagreed, however, forcing the 11-2 Bulldogs to settle for a New Year's Six matchup against No. 15 Texas, a 9-4 squad that lost its rematch against Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game.
The model is calling for 225 yards through the air from Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm and 150 on the ground from a combination of D'Andre Swift and Elijah Holyfield as the Bulldogs cover against the Longhorns in 55 percent of simulations.
Another one of the top college football predictions from the model: Boise State covers as a field goal favorite over Boston College in the 2018 First Responder Bowl in Dallas.
The Broncos are coming off a disappointing overtime loss in the MWC Championship Game, but their history of success in bowls for the last two decades stands out. Dating back to the 1999 Humanitarian Bowl, Boise State is 12-6 in college football bowl games.
Against a Boston College team that crept into the AP Top 25 on several occasions this season before finishing at 7-5, Boise State will look to their offensive stars. The model projects nearly 250 yards passing and two touchdowns from four-year starting quarterback Brett Rypien and nearly 80 yards and a score from running back Alexander Mattison.
That helps lead Boise State to a cover in nearly 60 percent of simulations. The model also sees value in the Under (55), as that hits in nearly 65 percent of simulations.
The model is also calling for multiple favorites to get stunned in bowl season, and has an extremely strong pick for the national semifinal between Alabama and Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, saying one side covers in over 60 percent of simulations.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence during college football bowl season? And which side of Alabama vs. Oklahoma should you be all over? Check out the latest college football bowl game odds below, and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,000 in profit over the past three seasons.
New Mexico Bowl: North Texas vs. Utah State (-9, 66.5)
Cure Bowl: Tulane vs. Louisiana (+3.5, 59)
Las Vegas Bowl: Arizona State vs. Fresno State (-4, 52)
Camellia Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern (-1, 47.5)
New Orleans Bowl: Appalachian State vs. Middle Tennessee (+7, 50.5)
Boca Raton Bowl: UAB vs. Northern Illinois (+2, 43.5)
Frisco Bowl: Ohio vs. San Diego State (+3, 54)
Gasparilla Bowl: Marshall vs. South Florida (+2.5, 55.5)
Bahamas Bowl: Toledo vs. Florida International (+5.5, 68.5)
Idaho Potato Bowl: BYU vs. Western Michigan (+12, 48.5)
Birmingham Bowl: Memphis vs. Wake Forest (+5, 74)
Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. Houston (+3, 67)
Dollar General Bowl: Buffalo vs. Troy (+2.5, 53.5)
Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech (+1, 60)
First Responder Bowl: Boston College vs. Boise State (-3, 55)
Quick Lane Bowl: Minnesota vs. Georgia Tech (-4, 60.5)
Cheez-It Bowl: TCU vs. California (PK, 40.5)
Independence Bowl: Temple vs. Duke (+3.5, 55.5)
Pinstripe Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Miami (Fla.) (-4, 47)
Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Vanderbilt (-3.5, 55)
Music City Bowl: Auburn vs. Purdue (+3.5, 54.5)
Camping World Bowl: West Virginia vs. Syracuse (+1.5, 68.5)
Alamo Bowl: Iowa State vs. Washington State (-3.5, 54.5)
Belk Bowl: South Carolina vs. Virginia (+4, 54.5)
Arizona Bowl: Nevada vs. Arkansas State (-1.5, 60.5)
Military Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech (+5, 53.5)
Redbox Bowl: Michigan State vs. Oregon (-3, 48)
Liberty Bowl: Missouri vs. Oklahoma State (+8, 74)
Holiday Bowl: Northwestern vs. Utah (-7, 45.5)
TaxSlayer Bowl: Texas A&M vs. NC State (+4.5, 58.5)
Sun Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Stanford (-6.5, 52)
Outback Bowl: Mississippi State vs. Iowa (+6.5, 44.5)
Citrus Bowl: Kentucky vs. Penn State (-6.5, 47.5)
Peach Bowl: Florida vs. Michigan (-7.5, 50.5)
Fiesta Bowl: LSU vs. Central Florida (+7.5, 55.5)
Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Washington (+6.5, 58)
Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Texas (+11.5, 58)
Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma (+14, 81)
Cotton Bowl: Clemson vs. Notre Dame (+11, 55)
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