College football odds, picks, lines for Week 11: Advanced computer model loving Alabama, Georgia Tech
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 11 college football game 10,000 times
There are plenty of storylines as the bulk of the Week 11 college football schedule unfolds on Saturday. Take Notre Dame vs. Florida State, with one team on the College Football Playoff path and the other struggling. However, news broke Thursday that Fighting Irish starting quarterback Ian Book suffered a rib injury against Northwestern and won't play on Saturday. As a result, Notre Dame has fallen from 17.5-point favorites to 16.5 in the latest Week 11 college football odds. Meanwhile, Texas vs. Texas Tech has one of the tightest college football spreads of the week. The Red Raiders are just two-point home underdogs in a Big 12 battle. With college football odds and lines moving as kickoffs approach, you should see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say before making any Week 11 college football picks and predictions.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.
And in Week 10, it absolutely nailed the biggest game of the season, recommending the Crimson Tide against the spread (-14), on the money line (-588) and hitting the under in Alabama's 29-0 blowout of LSU. It also nailed its top-rated selection of Auburn (-3.5) over Texas A&M, helping the model finish the weekend on a strong 7-3 run on all top-rated picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now it has simulated every single play of Week 11 and its college football predictions are in.
One of the Week 11 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 1 Alabama (-23.5) continues to not only win, but also surpass oddsmakers' expectations, as it covers against No. 18 Mississippi State.
Even facing lines regularly surpassing three or four touchdowns, Alabama is 6-3 against the spread this season. Early action has already pushed this line two points in favor or Alabama, but the model is still backing the Tide. A week after completely blanking LSU, Alabama limits Mississippi State quarterback Nick Fitzgerald to under 200 yards of total offense on its way to covering in almost 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of the Week 11 college football picks the model loves: Georgia Tech covers at home against Miami as three-point favorites.
What started as a season with College Football Playoff possibilities has turned into a nightmare for the Hurricanes. They've lost three straight in the ACC and their hopes of winning a conference title appear to have vanished. In fact, "The U" is now two full games behind Pittsburgh in the Coastal Division.
Against run-heavy Boston College on the road two weeks ago, Miami gave up 223 yards on the ground and multiple scores. That doesn't bode well for their ability to defend Georgia Tech's triple-option attack on Saturday. The model says the Yellow Jackets cover nearly 60 percent of the time. You can also back the Over (55.5), which hits in 55 percent of simulations.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 11? And what playoff contender gets a huge scare? Check out the latest Week 11 college football odds below, and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,000 in profit over the past three seasons.
Ole Miss at Texas A&M (-13, 67.5)
Navy at Central Florida (-24.5, 64.5)
TCU at West Virginia (-11.5, 55.5)
Wisconsin at Penn State (-8, 53)
Vanderbilt at Missouri (-16, 63)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5, 54)
Ohio State at Michigan State (+4, 48)
Michigan at Rutgers (+37.5, 47.5)
Kentucky at Tennessee (+5, 41)
Baylor at Iowa State (-16.5, 51)
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-21.5, 80)
Northwestern at Iowa (-10, 42.5)
Washington State at Colorado (+6.5, 62)
Mississippi State at Alabama (-23.5, 52)
Oregon at Utah (-4, 53.5)
South Florida at Cincinnati (-14, 55)
Auburn at Georgia (-13.5, 52.5)
Texas at Texas Tech (+2, 62)
LSU at Arkansas (+12, 48.5)
Florida State at Notre Dame (-16.5, 51)
Clemson at Boston College (+18.5, 55)
Oregon State at Stanford (-24, 61.5)
California at Southern California (-4, 45.5)
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