Five days after talking about style points and what that means for gamblers, the Nos. 2, 3 and 4 teams in the playoff rankings all lost as chaos reigned supreme in Week 11.
Week 12 doesn't look much better on paper, but after last week when two top teams lost as 20-plus point favorites, we have to expect some form of excitement and craziness a week ahead of rivalry week.
Here is a look at the lines and odds for the biggest games of the week:
Lines you need to know
No. 8 Oklahoma (-3) at No. 10 West Virginia: The Sooners have quietly snuck back into the top 10 and, while they need more chaos to take place ahead of them, they still have a legitimate road to the College Football Playoff. West Virginia might still have a chance too, but it likely needs a convincing win on Saturday to impress the committee. The Big 12, which appeared dead in the water a month ago, has to rest its playoff hopes on one of these two teams, with the other getting eliminated from the conversation Saturday.
No. 2 Ohio State (-22.5) at Michigan State: The Spartans just crushed Rutgers -- as has most everyone -- but reality is about to hit them square in the mouth in the form of a red-hot Ohio State team. The Buckeyes are thumping everyone, and what was once expected to be a game with significant title ramifications is now a tuneup for Ohio State going into the Michigan game.
No. 21 Florida (+14) at No. 16 LSU: The Gators need a win to clinch the SEC East but are two-touchdown underdogs to an LSU team that rebounded from its Alabama loss with a beatdown of Arkansas. That same Arkansas team handled the Gators with ease, but matchups make games and the Gators' defense against the LSU rushing attack is going to be the key in whether this stays inside that number.
Lines that may surprise you
No. 5 Clemson (-21.5) at Wake Forest: Wake was leading at Louisville for much of the game before the Cardinals went crazy in the fourth quarter to run away with the victory. The Demon Deacons play really good defense and the way the Tigers are playing -- coming off the loss to Pitt -- it's a bit surprising that this is over three touchdowns. There's certainly potential for an angry bounce-back performance by Clemson, but Wake plays teams extremely tough and over three touchdowns is a lot of points on the road.
Arkansas (+2) at Mississippi State: I know Mississippi State has shown improvement recently and beat Texas A&M, but this seems like a bit of an over-correction on the part of the oddsmakers. Arkansas has struggled with good teams, but has hammered average to below-average opponents. Mississippi State -- even with Nick Fitzgerald -- falls into the latter and I'm a bit stunned to see the Bulldogs as favorites in this spot.
Virginia Tech (+1) at Notre Dame: Making Notre Dame the favorite here is a bit surprising, but I kind of understand based off three factors: Notre Dame being the ultimate public side, the Irish dominating Army and Virginia Tech looking bad in a loss to Georgia Tech. However, unless the Irish are introducing the triple option this week, I think the Hokies' defense will look better than it did a week ago and overall, they have been better than Notre Dame this season. I don't look at this is an egregious miss by the oddsmakers, but I would probably lean toward the Hokies in this spot.
Consider staying away
Indiana (+23) at No. 4 Michigan: Wilton Speight status is uncertain -- a report said he would be out for the season with a broken collarbone, but coach Jim Harbaugh denied that report -- which means Michigan is now turning to backup John O'Korn. Harbaugh has said he likes O'Korn, but at Houston turnovers were a concern. This seems like a spot to take the Hoosiers and the points, but I'm terrified of a "no one believes in us" vibe from this Michigan team coming off of a loss and playing with a backup quarterback. I'll just be staying away from this one.
No. 13 Oklahoma State (+4.5) at TCU: The middle of the Big 12 is a disaster and I don't trust any team on a week-to-week basis. I don't know why you would trust the Frogs enough to lay points with them and the gut instinct is to take the Cowboys, but this line smells and that has me afraid. Walk away.
Stanford (-10.5) at Cal: Stanford has looked much improved recently. Cal has looked quite bad recently. This should be a spot where Christian McCaffrey gets going and has a big game, but I still can't trust this Stanford squad and am terrified of a big Cal offensive performance to keep this close.