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The Colorado State Rams will look to continue their recent dominance over the Fresno State Bulldogs when they meet in a key Mountain West Conference matchup on Thursday night. The Rams, making their season debut, have won six of their last seven games in the series, including three straight at Fresno State. The Bulldogs' last win in the series was a 28-7 triumph at Colorado State in 2012. Fresno State's last home win over the Rams was 32-30 in 2002.

Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Rams are favored by 2.5-points in the latest Colorado State vs. Fresno State odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 58. Before making any Fresno State vs. Colorado State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of nearly $4,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 29-19 on top-rated picks through eight weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning nearly $500 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Colorado State vs. Fresno State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Fresno State vs. Colorado State:

  • Colorado State vs. Fresno State spread: Colorado State -2.5
  • Colorado State vs. Fresno State over-under: 58 points
  • Colorado State vs. Fresno State money line: Colorado State -140, Fresno State +120
  • CSU: Averaged 28.1 points per game in 2019
  • FRES: Nine different receivers caught a pass in the loss to Hawaii on Saturday

Why Colorado State can cover

The Rams' defense returns a number of key contributors from a year ago, including junior linebacker Dequan Jackson, a preseason All-Mountain West selection. Last season, Jackson was Colorado State's second-best tackler, recording 87 stops, including 39 solo, with 1.5 sacks and two fumble recoveries. He set a career-best with 13 tackles against Toledo and started in 11 of 12 games in 2019. 

Also back is redshirt senior safety Logan Stewart, who started his career with the Rams as a walk-on. He was the third-leading tackler on the team last year with 76 tackles, including 46 solo, with one sack and three pass breakups. He registered two interceptions, both against Fresno State, to earn Mountain West Conference Player of the Week honors. 

Why Fresno State can cover

Despite that, the Rams are not a lock to cover the Colorado State vs. Fresno State spread. That's because the Bulldogs are led by junior quarterback Jake Haener, who completed 17 of 31 passes for 289 yards and one touchdown in his first career start vs. Hawaii. Haener also carried 13 times for 37 yards (2.8 average) with a long of 16 yards. He started his career at Washington, where he completed 9 of 13 passes (69.2 percent) for 107 yards and one touchdown in 2018.

Senior running back Ronnie Rivers was the Bulldogs' top rusher in Game 1, carrying 18 times for 79 yards (4.4 average) and one touchdown. A second-team All-Mountain West back a year ago, Rivers started all 12 games and was the team's leading rusher with 899 yards. He also added 348 receiving yards and led the team with 13 rushing TDs and three receiving. He scored three rushing touchdowns against Utah State and averaged 113.9 all-purpose yards per game in 2019.

How to make Colorado State vs. Fresno State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Haener will throw for more than 215 yards and two touchdowns, while Colorado State will get well over 100 yards on the ground. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Fresno State vs. Colorado State? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Colorado State vs. Fresno State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $4,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.