The Tennessee Volunteers travel to take on No. 11 Florida on Saturday night in SEC East play. The Volunteers are rebuilding under coach Josh Heupel, and they're off to a 2-1 start this year. The offense has seen a lift as the Vols have scored at least 34 points in each game so far, but this will certainly be their toughest test yet. Florida fell just short of a big upset against Alabama last week, but the Gators should come into this matchup with plenty of confidence after pushing the nation's top-ranked team to the brink.
Kickoff from The Swamp in Gainesville, Fla., is set for 7 p.m. ET. The latest Florida vs. Tennessee odds list the Gators as 19-point favorites. The over-under has been on the rise and it now sits at 64.5, up four points from the opening line. Before finalizing any Tennessee vs. Florida picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Tennessee vs. Florida spread: Florida -19
- Tennessee vs. Florida over-under: 64.5 points
- Tennessee vs. Florida money line: Tennessee +700, Florida -1100
- TENN: Under is 6-1 in Volunteers last seven conference games
- FLA: Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss
Why Tennessee can cover
Tennessee's offense plays with an extremely fast tempo and has been able to move the ball well through the first three weeks of the season. The Volunteers average 42.6 points a game while averaging 422 total yards of offense. Tennessee's rushing attack is a staple for this offense, averaging 223 rushing yards a game.
The Vols have multiple players who have rushed over 100 yards on the year. Junior running back Tiyon Evans is the leading rusher on this team with 161 yards on 31 carries. Sophomore Jabari Small is second on the team in yards with 135, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Tennessee is playing it closes to the vest at quarterback as Hendon Hooker and Joe Milton III, both transfers who joined the team in the offseason, could get the starting nod.
Why Florida can cover
Despite being in a run-first offense, redshirt junior receiver Jacob Copeland has made plays down the field. Copeland is the leading receiver on the Gators, hauling in seven catches for 200 yards and two touchdowns. The redshirt junior receiver averages a team-high 28.5 yards per reception. Emory Jones took a nice step forward as Florida's starting quarterback last week, but the Gators are also expecting to have backup Anthony Richardson, a big running threat, available this week after he missed the Alabama game due to a hamstring injury.
On the other side of the ball, Florida is tied for fifth in SEC in rushing yards allowed with 97.3. Redshirt senior defensive lineman Zachary Carter has been off to a solid start. Carter leads the Gators in tackles for loss with six, while recording a team-high 3.5 sacks. The Gators have 20 tackles for loss on the year to go along with 11 sacks and will look cause trouble in Tennessee's backfield.
How to make Tennessee vs. Florida picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 53 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Tennessee? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.