No. 11 Tennessee will try to pick up its first win at Florida since 2003 when the rivals meet in an SEC East battle on Saturday night. The Vols cruised to a 49-13 win over Virginia in Week 1 before getting past Austin Peay in a disappointing home opener last week. Florida lost to No. 14 Utah in its opener, but it bounced back with a 49-7 win against McNeese State. Tennessee snapped a five-game losing streak in the series with a 38-33 win in Knoxville last year.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville. The latest Tennessee vs. Florida odds via the SportsLine consensus list the Vols as 5.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 56.5. Before entering any Tennessee vs. Florida picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Florida vs. Tennessee spread: Tennessee -5.5
- Florida vs. Tennessee over/under: 56.5 points
- Florida vs. Tennessee money line: Florida: +176, Tennessee: -215
- Florida vs. Tennessee picks: See picks here
- Florida vs. Tennessee live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Florida can cover
Florida cruised to a 38-14 win over Tennessee the last time these teams met in the Swamp, racking up 505 yards of offense. The Gators nearly sprung an upset in Knoxville last year, finishing with 594 yards to cover the 11-point spread in a 38-33 final. They have won nine consecutive home games against Tennessee and are 5-1 in their last six home games overall.
Wins against Florida have been few and far between for the Vols, who are 2-16 in their last 18 attempts against the Gators, covering the spread once in the last five meetings. Tennessee is coming off a subpar performance against Austin Peay, winning by 17 points as a 48.5-point favorite. The Vols generated just 59 total yards on their first four possessions, and a slow start on Saturday night could be too much to overcome. Florida's rushing attack racked up 327 yards and scored six touchdowns last week, giving the Gators a way to control the tempo and keep Tennessee's offense on the sidelines.
Why Tennessee can cover
Tennessee snapped a five-game losing streak in this series last season, and it is coming off a pair of blowout wins to open the 2023 campaign. The Vols put up 49 points against Virginia in their opener, led by sophomore running back Dylan Sampson's four total touchdowns. Senior quarterback Joe Milton III has thrown for 429 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 40 yards and three more scores.
Florida's offense was unable to keep pace with Utah in its opener, scoring just 11 points and failing to cover the 5.5-point spread. The Gators have only covered the spread once in their last five games overall, and four times in their last 12 games against SEC teams. Tennessee has been one of the most profitable teams in college football since the beginning of last season, covering 11 times in its last 15 games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Florida vs. Tennessee picks
The model has simulated Tennessee vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Tennessee, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Tennessee vs. Florida spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up nearly $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.