Fornelli 50 college football rankings: Ohio State has itself in a great position
The Fornelli 50 ranks teams based on nothing but their performance in 2017
In last week's edition of the Fornelli 50, I wrote that Ohio State being ranked ahead of a couple of undefeated teams despite its loss was a good sign for the Buckeyes, but I didn't do was go into detail as to why. Well, this week Ohio State becomes the first team in 2017 to be ranked in my top 10 with a loss, and that's an excellent omen for the Buckeyes.
You see, while this is only the second year I've been sharing my top 50 rankings here on CBS Sports, I've kept them on my own for the last nine years. That means I've done them throughout the College Football Playoff era, and there's a definite trend I've noticed over time. In the three years of the playoff era, there have been five teams that became the first one-loss team to be ranked in my top 10 during a given season. In 2014, it was Ohio State. In 2015, both Alabama and Oklahoma were ranked in the top 10 in the same week despite both having a loss. Last year, it was Ohio State and Louisville entering the top 10 in the same week.
Four of those five teams ended up in the College Football Playoff that season. The only one not to was Louisville last year, and as you can see, Ohio State has already done it twice.
I don't think this trend has anything to do with my ratings, but it's proof that losing earlier in the season is better than losing late. Still, it's an exciting trend, and one to be enthused about if you're a Buckeyes fan.
Before we get to the rest of this week's rankings, here's a reminder on how all of this works ().
- My opinion has absolutely nothing to do with the rankings
- There is true equality to start as math doesn't play favorites
- Wins and losses mean more than anything
- The formula is in no way predictive, it's a meritocracy
- I won't share the formula, but it works
|1. Clemson||6-0||Am I the only one that's a little worried about heading to Syracuse for a Friday night game? (Last week: 1)|
|2. Alabama||6-0||I hope Nick Saban appreciates these rankings not poisoning his team by putting it at No. 1. (2)|
|3. Penn State||6-0||Even on a day when Saquon Barkley was bottled up, for the most part, the Nittany Lions still cruised. (4)|
|4. Washington||6-0||Don't worry, Chris Petersen, math never sleeps. (6)|
|5. UCF||4-0||UCF scored 51 points in a game that was called due to weather before the third quarter ended. This team is just dominating everyone it plays. (5)|
|6. Georgia||6-0||Georgia has outscored its SEC opponents 117-17 in three games. (8)|
|7. TCU||5-0||Look who is suddenly in the Big 12 driver's seat. (7)|
|8. Wisconsin||5-0||I think the QB position is what keeps this team from being elite. (10)|
|9. Washington State||6-0||We're looking at a Wazzu that could be 9-0 entering November. The first CFP Rankings will be released by then. (11)|
|10. Ohio State||5-1||The Buckeyes are outscoring opponents 210-42 during their four-game win streak. (15)|
|11. South Florida||5-0||The Bulls had the week off, but get Cincinnati this week. (12)|
|12. Miami||4-0||The Canes finally slew the Seminole giant. (13)|
|13. Notre Dame||5-1||The Irish still have to play USC, NC State, Miami, Navy and Stanford. Enjoy the week off while you can! (19)|
|14. San Diego State||6-0||If the Aztecs get past Boise State this week, a 12-0 regular season is in play. (17)|
|15. Oklahoma||4-1||Oklahoma has now lost a game in which it was a double-digit favorite in seven straight seasons. (3)|
|16. USC||5-1||I guess losing to the Trojans was the last straw for Gary Andersen. (21)|
|17. Auburn||5-1||The four FBS teams Auburn has beaten have a combined record of 6-13, which is why I'm not on board yet. (22)|
|18. Navy||5-0||The reason Navy is the lowest ranked undefeated team is the average Fornelli ranking of the five teams it has beaten is 93. (18)|
|19. Oklahoma State||4-1||Watching Oklahoma lose on your bye week is the ideal way to spend a bye week in Stillwater. (20)|
|20. Virginia Tech||5-1||The Hokies put their loss to Clemson in the rearview mirror by beating Boston College. (23)|
|21. NC State||5-1||It's important to remember that, while we see wins over Florida State and Louisville as impressive, the math sees wins against teams that are a combined 5-5. (29)|
|22. Michigan||4-1||Jim Harbaugh is now 3-4 against Penn State, Michigan State and Ohio State at Michigan. He's 4-4 against teams that were ranked at the time. (9)|
|23. Michigan State||4-1||I'm sure Michigan State fans won't be upset about being ranked below Michigan. It's the math, not me! (39)|
|24. Texas Tech||4-1||Tech had a bye week against Kansas. (41)|
|25. Georgia Tech||3-1||The Bees had the week off, but have a significant showdown with Miami this week. (30)|
|26. Houston||4-1||Based on what I've seen, Houston's win over SMU may have been its most impressive performance of the season. (35)|
|27. Kentucky||5-1||Have you looked at the rest of Kentucky's schedule? Its, uh, it's pretty manageable. (38)|
|28. Stanford||4-2||Stanford gets Oregon this week in a "Loser Leaves The Division Race" bout. (43)|
|29. Utah||4-1||The Utes dropped one to Stanford, but have no time to feel sorry for themselves with this week's trip to USC coming. (16)|
|30. Marshall||4-1||A win is a win, but Marshall should beat Charlotte by more than 11 points. (44)|
|31. UTSA||3-1||The Roadrunners dropped their first game of the season to Southern Miss on Saturday. (14)|
|32. Virginia||4-1||I'm not the only one who has noticed Bronco Mendenhall's Cavs are 4-1 while BYU is 1-5, right? (47)|
|33. Memphis||4-1||Memphis looked like a team trying to score away the memories of that loss to UCF against UConn. (48)|
|34. Iowa||4-2||Iowa outscored Illinois 28-3 in the second half to pick up an easy win. (49)|
|35. Troy||4-1||LSU beating Florida boosted Troy's SOS, and losses elsewhere helped raise its ranking. (42)|
|36. Toledo||4-1||Losing leading receiver Cody Thompson is a big blow for the Rockets. (45)|
|37. Oregon||4-2||Nobody in the Pac-12 is going to feel sorry for the banged-up Ducks. (25)|
|38. Duke||4-2||The sheen has started to wear off a bit. (24)|
|39. Louisville||4-2||The Cardinals are 4-5 since their 9-1 start to the 2016 season. (26)|
|40. Purdue||3-2||The Gophers left their boat on the tracks. (52)|
|41. South Carolina||4-2||I filed South Carolina's 26-point win over Arkansas in the "Unexpected Results" drawer. (55)|
|42. Texas||3-2||The Horns are back! For now! Maybe if they beat Oklahoma they'll be back for good. (54)|
|43. Wake Forest||4-2||Wake Forest has lost two in a row, but it's been a pain in the butt for both Florida State and Clemson. (32)|
|44. West Virginia||3-2||I like this team, but it's pretty clear it's not in the upper tier of the Big 12. (28)|
|45. Colorado State||4-2||I believe the Rams are the best team in their division this year. Sorry, Boise State. (51)|
|46. Mississippi State||3-2||The Bulldogs had the week off. (46)|
|47. Florida||3-2||At least the Tom Petty tribute was great. (27)|
|48. Texas A&M||4-2||Hey, losing to Alabama by only 11 is a win in my book. (36)|
|49. Iowa State||3-2||Anything cool happen for Iowa State this weekend? (NR)|
|50. SMU||4-2||SMU lost to Houston, but it just hangs on to a spot in the Fornelli 50. (33)|
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