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Sun Belt Conference teams looking to turn their fortunes around clash on Thursday when the South Alabama Jaguars visit the Georgia Southern Eagles. South Alabama (3-2) has struggled on the road since the start of the 2015 season, going 5-25 away from home during that span. Georgia Southern (3-2), off to a 1-2 start in conference play, is 21-8 at home over the past five-plus seasons. The Eagles have won nine of their 14 games all-time played on Thursday, including four in a row.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Georgia Southern's defense is allowing 20.8 points per game this season, while South Alabama is giving up 24.8. The Eagles are favored by 3.5-points in the latest South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 51. Before making any Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $4,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 29-19 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning nearly $500 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern:

  • South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern spread: Georgia Southern -3.5
  • South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern over-under: 51 points
  • South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern money line: South Alabama +150, Georgia Southern -170
  • SA: K Diego Guajardo has made eight of 10 field goals this season, with a long of 50 yards
  • GS: Has allowed just six touchdowns total in six previous meetings with South Alabama

Why Georgia Southern can cover

Senior running back Wesley Kennedy III has been a multi-threat for the Eagles this season. He leads the team with seven plays of 20 or more yards, including two rushes, two receptions, two kickoff returns and one punt return. He is third on the team in rushing, carrying 31 times for 206 yards (6.6 average) and three touchdowns, while catching four passes for 127 yards (31.8 average). In 2019, Kennedy played in the final nine games, starting six. He led Georgia Southern with 824 rushing yards.

Defensively, freshman Derrick Canteen has been a difference-maker. He is third on the team in tackles with 23, including 15 solo. He also has one pass breakup, two interceptions and one forced fumble. Against Louisiana-Lafayette, he made seven tackles, including three solo.

Why South Alabama can cover

Despite that, the Eagles are not a lock to cover the South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern spread. That's because the Jaguars have won two in a row and have already surpassed last year's win total. They are led by sophomore quarterback Desmond Trotter, who has completed 46 of 69 passes (66.7 percent) for 744 yards and six touchdowns. Last week against Louisiana-Monroe, Trotter not only completed 8 of 12 attempts for 184 yards and three touchdowns, he added 33 yards on eight carries, posting the first rushing touchdown of his career.

Sophomore running back Carlos Davis leads the South Alabama ground attack. He has carried 97 times for 443 yards (4.6 average) and two touchdowns. He had a two-game streak of 100-plus yards rushing snapped last weekend, when he was held to 58 yards on 17 carries (3.4). As a redshirt freshman last season, he appeared in 11 of 12 games, finishing second on the team with 269 yards on 61 attempts.

How to make Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Trotter will throw for nearly 220 yards and two touchdowns, while Georgia Southern's backfield will combine to rush for two touchdowns. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $4,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.