The Syracuse Orange, led by head coach Dino Babers, will be at the center of the college football world on Friday evening. Syracuse hosts Hugh Freeze and the Liberty Flames in an intriguing matchup at the Carrier Dome. Syracuse is 2-1 this season, losing only to Rutgers. Liberty is 3-0, but the Flames are taking a step up in competition with this particular road trip.
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. The latest Liberty vs. Syracuse odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Flames as 6.5-point favorites, unchanged from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 54. Before locking in any Syracuse vs. Liberty picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Liberty vs. Syracuse spread: Liberty -6.5
- Liberty vs. Syracuse over-under: 54 points
- Liberty vs. Syracuse money line: Liberty -260, Syracuse +210
- LIB: The Flames are 3-0 against the spread this season
- SYR: The Orange are 8-6 against the spread in the last 14 games
Why Liberty can cover
Liberty's offense is dynamic under Hugh Freeze. The Flames are averaging 38 points per game, No. 2 among FBS independents, and they are generating 433.3 total yards per contest. Liberty is averaging 9.4 yards per pass attempt and 4.5 yards per carry on the ground, with 16 touchdowns and no interceptions. Malik Willis is a dual-threat sensation at quarterback, racking up a 71 percent completion rate with seven touchdowns through the air and 75 rushing yards per game with four more touchdowns using his feet.
Liberty is explosive, but the Flames are also efficient, converting almost 49 percent of their third-down chances. Defensively, the Flames have been stingy all season, especially against the run. Opponents are producing only 58 yards per game on the ground, averaging 2.0 yards per carry, and Liberty is giving up only 12.3 points per game. Freshman defensive tackle Kendy Charles has four sacks in only three games, and Liberty has 10 sacks as a team, even at this early juncture.
Why Syracuse can cover
Syracuse has been impressive offensively this season, putting up more than 400 total yards and 32 points per game, but the team's defense has carried even more weight. The Orange lead the ACC in total defense, giving up 225.3 yards per game, and Syracuse also leads the conference in rushing defense, giving up 63.7 yards per contest. Syracuse is also a top-five team in passing defense (161.7 yards allowed per game) and scoring defense (16.7 points allowed per game) among ACC teams, and the Orange are giving up just 6.0 yards per pass attempt and 1.8 yards per carry.
In addition, Syracuse has 12 sacks in only three games, and the longest rush allowed by the team is a paltry 13 yards. Sophomore linebacker Mikel Jones is a top-four player in the ACC in solo tackles (16), total tackles (28) and tackles for loss (five), and senior defensive lineman Cody Roscoe is No. 2 in the ACC in both tackles for loss (six) and sacks (3.5).
How to make Syracuse vs. Liberty picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 46 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Liberty vs. Syracuse? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.