The Miami (FL) Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles will face off in a battle between rivals on Saturday evening. The matchup is the second ACC game for both sides, with Miami opening the season with a win over Louisville and FSU falling short against Georgia Tech. Miami won the 2019 matchup between the rivals by a 27-10 margin, with Florida State looking for its first victory in the series since 2016.

Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. William Hill lists the Hurricanes as 11.5-point home favorites, up two points from the opening line, in the latest Florida State vs. Miami odds. The over-under for total points is set at 53.5, down from opening at 57. Before making any Miami vs. Florida State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 13-1 on top-rated picks through three weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $900 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on FSU vs. Miami. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Miami vs. FSU:

  • Florida State vs. Miami spread: Miami -11.5
  • Florida State vs. Miami over-under: 53.5 points
  • Florida State vs. Miami money line: Miami -430, Florida State +350
  • FSU: The Seminoles were 4-3-1 against the spread in ACC games in 2019
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 2-0 against the spread this season

Why Florida State can cover

FSU's season began on a sour note, but this is a very talented roster. The Seminoles routinely rank among the top 20 nationally in recruiting, with more than a handful of five-star prospects still on the roster. Defensively, highly-touted defensive tackle Marvin Wilson leads the way, with an All-ACC selection in 2019 after contributing 44 tackles, 8.5 tackles for loss and five sacks. He is joined by Asante Samuel Jr., a high-profile cornerback who earned preseason All-ACC honors and contributed two interceptions in the opener against Georgia Tech

On the offensive side, Florida State does have real questions on the offensive line, but wide receiver Tamorrion Terry is a high-level playmaker on the outside. Terry was a second team All-ACC selection in 2019 after generating 1,188 receiving yards and nine touchdowns, and he will put pressure on Miami's defensive backfield throughout the game. Terry also has an experienced quarterback at the helm, with James Blackman accruing more than 5,000 career passing yards and 42 passing touchdowns across three-plus seasons. 

Why Miami can cover

The Hurricanes have been tremendously effective on the offensive side this season, averaging 39 points per game and converting all seven of their trips to the red zone. Much of that success can be traced to their running game, with 248.5 yards per game on the ground. In addition, Miami's passing game has been efficient, with four passing touchdowns and no interceptions through two games. 

Overall, the Hurricanes are averaging more than seven yards per play, and that efficiency will be key against Florida State. Defensively, Miami is slightly more vulnerable, as evidenced by the 34 points scored by Louisville last week, but the Hurricanes are holding their opponents to fewer than 4.0 yards per carry on the ground. Manny Diaz's defense is also holding opponents to only a 24 percent conversion rate on third down.

How to make Miami vs. Florida State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Florida State running back La'Damian Webb rushes for only 41 rushing yards and no Miami pass catcher projected for more than 52 yards receiving. It also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins FSU vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami vs. FSU spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,800 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.