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Things haven't gone exactly as planned for the 24th-ranked Miami (FL) Hurricanes thus far in the 2021 season, but their upcoming opponent could help them get on the right track. Miami has had nothing but success against the Michigan State Spartans, winning all four of their previous meetings -- including three at home. The Hurricanes attempt to extend the streak when they host the Spartans on Saturday. The teams last met on Sept. 30, 1989, when Miami posted a 26-20 victory at Michigan State.

Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is set for noon ET. The Hurricanes are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Michigan State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56.5. Before locking in any Michigan State vs. Miami picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on a 67-50 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Michigan State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting trends for Michigan State vs. Miami:

  • Miami vs. Michigan State spread: Hurricanes -6.5
  • Miami vs. Michigan State over-under: 56.5 points
  • Miami vs. Michigan State money line: Hurricanes -250, Spartans +205
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games
  • MSU: The Spartans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 contests as underdogs
Featured Game | Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Michigan State Spartans

Why Miami can cover

After recording 200 or more passing yards in eight of his 10 regular-season games last year, D'Eriq King hit the mark for the first time in 2021 when he threw for 200 in last Saturday's 25-23 triumph against Appalachian State. The 24-year-old quarterback is 10 yards away from reaching 8,000 for his career. King gained 79 yards on the ground in that victory, pushing him over the 2,000-yard mark in rushing and 10,000 in total offense.

Redshirt freshman Key'Shawn Smith had a team-high 70 receiving yards last weekend, giving him 168 on eight receptions in two contests after he made only two catches for 58 yards in the same amount of games last year. Senior Mike Harley and junior Charleston Rambo each hauled in five passes against Appalachian State, giving the former 133 career receptions. Harley is one catch behind Leonard Hankerson for seventh place on Miami's all-time list and needs 41 to overtake Reggie Wayne for the top spot.

Why Michigan State can cover

The Spartans' offense has been on fire thus far this season, scoring at least 38 points in each of its first two games for the first time since 2015. The total of 80 points in those contests is Michigan State's most in the initial two games of a campaign since it amassed 83 in 2007. The club registered 595 yards of total offense against Youngstown State and is averaging 299 on the ground, the second-best mark in the Big Ten Conference.

Payton Thorne completed 15-of-21 pass attempts for 280 yards and a career-high four touchdowns last Saturday while also running for a score. The sophomore quarterback, who has five scoring tosses and no interceptions in his first two contests, connected with 12 different receivers but did his best work with Jayden Reed. A redshirt junior, Reed hauled in four passes - two for TDs - for a career-high 181 yards, giving him an average of 27.2 yards per catch this year.

How to make Michigan State vs. Miami picks 

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting teams to combine for 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Miami vs. Michigan State? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.