The Miami (FL) Hurricanes and Virginia Cavaliers meet for the third straight season at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., when the teams collide in a primetime game on Thursday. The teams met in 2019 in Miami, with the Hurricanes winning 17-9, and were scheduled to meet in Charlottesville last season. But the coronavirus pandemic forced the ACC to alter teams' schedules, which moved the contest back to South Florida. The Cavaliers have lost six straight games at Hard Rock Stadium, which includes their loss to Florida in the Orange Bowl after the 2019 season. Quarterback D'Eriq King (shoulder) could miss a second straight game for Miami.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Hurricanes are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Virginia odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 62, down half a point from the opening line. Before finalizing any Virginia vs. Miami picks, check out the college football predictions from Tom Fornelli.

The CBS national writer has been profitable across multiple sports, but his specialty is college football. What's more, he has demonstrated a particularly sharp eye for Miami. In fact, Fornelli is an impressive 17-5 (+1180) in his last 22 college football picks involving the Hurricanes. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Miami vs. Virginia. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Virginia vs. Miami:

  • Miami vs. Virginia spread: Hurricanes -5.5
  • Miami vs. Virginia over-under: 62 points
  • Miami vs. Virginia money line: Hurricanes -220, Cavaliers +180
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 0-3 ATS against FBS competition this year
  • UVA: Brennan Armstrong leads in the country in both passing yards per game (426.2) and total offense (438.2)
Featured Game | Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Why Miami can cover

The Miami offense has a great matchup facing the Virginia defense. The Hurricanes average 455.0 total yards per game, which ranks 30th in the country. They will face a Cavaliers defense that coughs up 423.0 yards per game, which ranks last in the 14-team ACC and 100th in the country.

In addition, Miami meets a Virginia team that has struggled on the road. The Cavaliers have lost five straight road games and eight of their last nine and have not won away from home since Nov. 2, 2019. The average margin of defeat during the five-game losing streak is 15.6 points per game.

Why Virginia can cover

Virginia has a favorable matchup going against the Miami pass defense. Led by quarterback Brennan Armstrong, who's No. 1 in the country in both passing yards per game (426.2) and total offense (438.2), the Cavaliers lead the nation in passing yards per game (430.5) and are seventh in the nation in total offense (546.0). On Thursday they face a Hurricanes pass defense that allows 245.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the 14-team ACC and 92nd in the country.

In addition, Virginia squares off against a Miami offense that has struggled this season. Prior to the Hurricanes' game last week against Central Connecticut State, an FCS team, the Hurricanes ranked last in the ACC in both scoring offense (18.3 points per game) and 12th in total offense (360.3 yards per game). Those games were played with star quarterback D'Eriq King, whose status is up in the air for Thursday night.

How to make Virginia vs. Miami picks

Fornelli is leaning under on the point total. He has also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Miami vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the expert who has crushed his college football picks involving the Hurricanes, and find out.