A Saturday night Big Ten showdown in "The Big House" also serves as an unofficial elimination game in the race for the 2018 College Football Playoffs when the Wisconsin Badgers take on the Michigan Wolverines at 7:30 p.m. ET. The No. 15 Badgers have shaken off a shocking upset against BYU earlier in the season to take a lead in the Big Ten West, while No. 12 Michigan has rebounded from a season-opening loss against Notre Dame to enter Week 7 just a half game back of Ohio State in the Big Ten East. The Wolverines are 10-point favorites, up two points from the open, in the latest Michigan vs. Wisconsin odds. The Over-Under sits at 47.5 as kickoff approaches. With so much on the line on Saturday evening, you'll want to see the Michigan vs. Wisconsin picks from SportsLine senior analyst Josh Nagel before laying any bets of your own.
A Nevada-based expert with 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry, Nagel specializes in handicapping college athletics. He's having another solid season in college football, hitting on 60 percent of his spread picks for SportsLine members. Moreover, he has had a keen eye for the tendencies of these two programs. Over the past two years, Nagel boasts an amazing record of 10-1 on spread picks involving either Wisconsin or Michigan.
Just last week, Nagel advised SportsLine members that Michigan would wear down upstart Maryland and pull away to cover the 17-point spread. That's exactly what happened as the Wolverines came alive in the second half and rolled to a 42-21 victory. Anyone who's followed Nagel's advice is way up.
Now, he has studied Michigan vs. Wisconsin from every possible angle to reveal a strong point-spread pick that he's sharing only at SportsLine.
The Wolverines (5-1) were largely labeled as overrated after losing to Notre Dame in Week 1, but have rallied for five wins in a row, with all but one victory coming by at least 20 points.
Ole Miss transfer Shea Patterson has been a steadying force for the Wolverines at quarterback. He threw for 282 yards and three touchdowns to lead an efficient offense that moved the ball with ease in a 21-point win over Maryland last week. Karan Higdon added 103 yards on 25 carries. That kind of offensive efficiency, combined with the top-ranked defense in the Big Ten, has put the Wolverines squarely back in the playoff conversation.
But just because Michigan is firing on all cylinders doesn't mean it can cover a double-digit spread against a Wisconsin team that dominated the Wolverines last season.
Wisconsin (4-1) appears to be a team on a mission to overcome a mystifying loss to BYU as a three-touchdown favorite earlier this season. The Badgers have bounced back with a pair of impressive wins, beating Iowa 28-17 on the road two weeks ago and topping Nebraska 41-24 in Madison last week.
Wisconsin has tightened up its defense and now ranks No. 13 in the country, allowing 16.4 points per game. On offense, a balanced attack pounded out 533 yards of total offense against the Cornhuskers. Wisconsin's signature power run game went for 370 yards, led by Heisman candidate Jonathan Taylor, who had 221 yards and three touchdowns.
We can tell you Nagel is leaning toward the under, but he has also unearthed the crucial x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's only sharing it at SportsLine.
Who covers the Michigan vs. Wisconsin spread? And what crucial x-factor causes one side to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump all over Saturday, all from the expert who's on a blistering 10-1 run on his Michigan and Wisconsin picks.