Middle Tennessee State and Connecticut will face off Friday evening at Rentschler Field. The Blue Raiders (2-4) are coming off a blowout loss, while the Huskies finally got in the win column with a Week 7 victory over Yale. The Huskies (1-7) snapped their 2021 losing streak and have a chance to avoid going 0-3 all-time against the Middle Tennessee State. 

Kickoff at Rentschler Field is set for 6 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Blue Raiders as 14.5-point favorites in the latest UConn vs. MTSU odds. The over-under for total points is set at 54.5. Before making any MTSU vs. UConn picks, you need to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on a 22-9 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on UConn vs. MTSU and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for MTSU vs. UConn:  

  • MTSU vs. UConn spread: MTSU -14.5
  • MTSU vs. UConn over-under: 54.5 points
  • MTSU vs. UConn money line: MTSU -700, UConn +475
  • MTSU: The total has gone under in four of the Blue Raiders' previous five road games
  • UConn: The Huskies are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
Featured Game | Connecticut Huskies vs. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders

Why MTSU can cover

Middle Tennessee has only faced Connecticut twice, but both matchups ended in blowout wins for the Blue Raiders. The Blue Raiders have beaten the Huskies by an average of 40 points and only allowed the Huskies to score 12 points per contest. The home team's questionable offense is cause for concern this time around as well.

Connecticut has utilized three quarterbacks this year. The trio has combined to throw nine touchdowns passes and 10 interceptions in 2021. None of the signal-callers have a completion percentage above 60 percent. Connecticut has been held under 100 passing yards in two shutouts this year. Middle Tennessee State's well-rounded offense could put this game out of reach if the Huskies can barely move the chains again.

Why UConn can cover

Connecticut kicked off 2021 with two straight double-digit losses at home but has tightened up in recent weeks. The Huskies have covered in each of their last two home games as underdogs. Those matchups were decided by an average of four points. Only the No. 25 Purdue has beaten Connecticut by more than 15 points this season.

Middle Tennessee State is still looking for its first road win of the year. The Blue Raiders have played four road games in 2021 and lost three of them by double-digits. If the visitors continue to struggle away from home, the Huskies could make things interesting. The Blue Raiders' last double-digit road win came in November of 2019.

How to make UConn vs. MTSU picks

The model says to go under the total since the teams combine for 53 points in the simulations. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can see which side to back at SportsLine.

So who wins MTSU vs. UConn on Friday? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 22-9 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.