New Mexico State will be eyeing a rare win over Nevada when the teams square off in Week 0 on Saturday night. The Aggies have lost eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including a 55-28 decision last season. Both teams will be playing in their first game under new head coaches after Nevada lost Jay Norvell to Colorado State and New Mexico State parted ways with Doug Martin.
Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Wolf Pack are 8.5-point favorites in the latest New Mexico State vs. Nevada odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 48. Before making any New Mexico State vs. Nevada picks or college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also finished the 2021-22 college football season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. New Mexico State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for New Mexico State vs. Nevada:
- Nevada vs. New Mexico State spread: Nevada -8.5
- Nevada vs. New Mexico State over/under: 48 points
- Nevada vs. New Mexico State money line: Nevada -305, New Mexico State +240
- Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks: See picks here.
Why Nevada can cover
Nevada might be replacing some key pieces from last year's team, but it has a much stronger foundation than New Mexico State. The Wolf Pack have an experienced running back leading their rushing attack, which will allow them to stabilize the offense on Saturday night. They are facing a New Mexico State defense that allowed 40.4 points per game last season and is having to adjust to a new coaching staff.
The Wolf Pack have dominated this head-to-head series, winning eight of the last nine meetings. They have also won their last seven road games at New Mexico State, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six road games overall. The Aggies are replacing too much of their production from last year to be able to compete with Nevada on Saturday night.
Why New Mexico State can cover
Nevada has won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams, but New Mexico State has covered the spread in four of the last six contests. The Wolf Pack are not going to resemble anything like what they were last year, as they are replacing their top quarterback, wide receiver and running back from a dynamic offense. New Mexico State made a fantastic coaching hire in the form of veteran Jerry Kill, who has a lengthy track record of success.
He is getting eight starters back on defense, so that unit should be much improved from last season. Kill is excellent at controlling games by using the rushing attack to keep his offense on the field. The Aggies are suited to make this a low-scoring affair, which will make it difficult for Nevada to cover this number.
How to make Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, with both teams projected to score at least three touchdowns. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks at SportsLine.
So who wins New Mexico State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nevada vs. New Mexico State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
