The San Jose State Spartans take on the Nevada Wolf Pack in one of the marquee games of the season in the Mountain West. The teams face off Friday evening on CBS Sports Network, with the game now set to take place at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas due to COVID-19 restrictions in California. San Jose State is 5-0 on the season and, with a win over Nevada, the Spartans would earn a spot in the Mountain West title game. Nevada is 6-1 this season and, while a victory would not automatically mean inclusion in the MWC championship matchup, the Wolf Pack must win to have a chance. 

The Nevada vs. San Jose State odds at William Hill Sportsbook have seen plenty of movement. Nevada opened as a 2.5-point underdog, but is now a 1.5-point favorite in the hours leading up to kickoff. The over-under for total points has jumped from 58 to 60.5. Before making any San Jose State vs. Nevada picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also a sizzling 50-31 on all top-rated picks through 14 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning $700. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. SJSU. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for SJSU vs. Nevada:

  • Nevada vs. San Jose State spread: Nevada -1.5
  • Nevada vs. San Jose State over-under: 60.5 points
  • Nevada vs. San Jose State money line: San Jose State +105; Nevada -125
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack are 5-2 against the spread this season
  • SJSU: The Spartans are 10-5-2 against the spread in the last 17 games

Why Nevada can cover

Nevada is an explosive offensive team, and the centerpiece of the attack is the connection between sophomore quarterback Carson Strong and junior wide receiver Romeo Doubs. Strong leads the Mountain West with 2,327 passing yards and 21 touchdowns, averaging 8.3 yards per attempt with only four interceptions. 

Strong is also completing nearly 70 percent of his passes, including 44 connections with Doubs, who also leads the Mountain West in receiving yards (885), yards per reception (20.1) and receiving touchdowns (nine). The team's passing attack keys a scoring offense that is averaging 31.3 points per game and, with a top-five scoring defense in the Mountain West, Nevada is difficult to beat.

Why San Jose State can cover

San Jose State has strong units on both sides of the ball and, while the team concept is in place, the Spartans do have individual standouts. On offense, senior wide receiver Bailey Gaither ranks fourth in the Mountain West with 471 receiving yards in only five games. 

On the defensive side, junior linebacker Kyle Harmon is second in the conference with 63 tackles and junior defensive lineman Cade Hall is tied for the Mountain West lead with 5.5 sacks. San Jose State has true balance, ranking in the top four of the conference in scoring offense (30.4 points per game) and scoring defense (17.0 points per game).

How to make Nevada vs. San Jose State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with both teams projected to total fewer than 120 rushing yards. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins San Jose State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nevada vs. San Jose State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.