The North Texas Mean Green will take on the SMU Mustangs at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Both teams are 1-0 as North Texas defeated Northwestern State in Week 1, and SMU knocked off Abilene Christian. North Texas and SMU are both in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro and their rivalry is known as the Safeway Bowl. SMU has dominated the all-time series with a 33-6-1 record.
The Mustangs are favored by 22.5-points in the latest SMU vs. North Texas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 73.5. Before entering any North Texas vs. SMU picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 2 of the 2021 season on a 63-45 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- SMU vs. North Texas spread: SMU -22.5
- SMU vs. North Texas over-under: 73.5 points
What you need to know about SMU
You're bound to get a positive result if you outscore your opponent every quarter, and that's exactly how it played out for SMU last Saturday. The Mustangs were fully in charge, breezing past the Abilene Christian Wildcats 56-9 at home. The contest was pretty much decided by the half, when the score had already reached 35-3. QB Tanner Mordecai was a one-man wrecking crew for the Mustangs, passing for seven TDs and 317 yards on 31 attempts.
Mordecai is a transfer from Oklahoma after he spent three years backing up Kyler Murray, Jalen Hurts and Spencer Rattler. He was just declared the starting QB one week before the season opener, but now he leads the NCAA in passing touchdowns despite some quarterbacks playing in two games. The Mustangs also have a deep roster of running backs as five different players rushed for at least 20 yards in their win over Abilene Christian.
What you need to know about North Texas
Meanwhile, everything went the Mean Green's way against the Northwestern State Demons last Saturday as they made off with a 44-14 win. The matchup was all but wrapped up at the end of the third, by which point North Texas had established a 41-14 advantage. RB DeAndre Torrey went supernova for North Texas as he rushed for three TDs and 227 yards on 22 carries.
While offense has never been an issue for the Mean Green, their lack of defense is why they posted a losing record last year. North Texas ranked dead last in yards allowed per game (522.1) and third-worst in points allowed per game (42.8). When these teams last played in 2020, SMU hung 65 points on the Mean Green and racked up over 700 yards of total offense.
How to make North Texas vs. SMU picks
The model has simulated SMU vs. North Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins SMU vs. North Texas? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks.