clayton-tune-houston.jpg
USATSI

Notre Dame and Toledo are two of the many undefeated teams that will look to stay unbeaten this weekend. On Saturday, the Fighting Irish will host the Rockets at Notre Dame Stadium as part of a massive college football slate. Notre Dame has been difficult to stop at home in recent years, but Toledo's blowout win in Week 1 could make the game closer than many expect it to be.

Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. The Fighting Irish are 16.5-point favorites in the latest Notre Dame vs. Toledo odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points scored is set at 55.5. Before making any Toledo vs. Notre Dame picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 2 of the 2021 season on a 63-45 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Notre Dame vs. Toledo. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Toledo vs. Notre Dame:

  • Toledo vs. Notre Dame spread: Notre Dame -16.5
  • Toledo vs. Notre Dame over-under: 55.5 points
  • Toledo vs. Notre Dame money line: Toledo +600, Notre Dame -900
  • TOL: The Rockets have won four of their last five games
  • ND: The Fighting Irish are 17-2 in their last 19 games

Why Toledo can cover

The Rockets were impressive against Norfolk State and appear ready to put up plenty of a lot of points in 2021. Toledo put up 49 points against the Spartans despite throwing just 17 passes. Its offense scored 35 points per game in 2020 and can depend on steady contributions on the ground from Bryant Koback and backup quarterback Dequan Finn.

Notre Dame broke down in the fourth quarter against Florida State and allowed the Seminoles to go on an 18-0 run to force overtime. The Fighting Irish's once prolific defense forked up 269 rushing yards to Florida State. Four different Rockets rushed for at least a touchdown in Toledo's debut. That could cause trouble for Notre Dame.

Why Notre Dame can cover

Last December, Clemson ended Notre Dame's 24-game home winning streak, but Toledo isn't cut from the same cloth. Notre Dame's offense averaged 33.4 points per game, but its defense was even more impressive. The Fighting Irish only allowed opposing teams to score 19.7 points per game last season. That impressive mark doesn't bode well for the visitors.

The Rockets used three quarterbacks last weekend and the trio combined for 17 passing attempts. Toledo might not be able to put up enough points against a much better defense, and not having a go-to guy under center could come back to bite the underdogs against one of the best programs in college football.

How to make Toledo vs. Notre Dame picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 61 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Notre Dame vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.