Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds, line: Picks, predictions from expert who's 8-0 on Buckeyes games

No. 8 Ohio State is going to need a few statement wins to make up the ground it lost in the 2018 College Football Playoff rankings when it lost to Purdue earlier this season. On Saturday, the Buckeyes have their first opportunity on the road against No. 24 Michigan State. The Buckeyes are 4-point favorites and the total, which opened at 53.5 points, is all the way down to 48 in the latest Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds. Before you lock in your Ohio State vs. Michigan State picks, you'll want to see what SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh is saying as he puts an incredible streak picking Ohio State games on the line.

The renowned co-founder of AccuScore, Oh simulates each game 10,000 times using the SportsLine projection model, and he's on an astonishing run picking games involving the Buckeyes, hitting his past eight against the spread. That includes taking Penn State (+3.5) in its mega-matchup with Ohio State that the Buckeyes won 27-26 back on Sept. 28. He also nailed TCU's cover (+13) in a 40-28 loss to Ohio State on Sept. 14.

Now, Oh has locked in another strong against-the-spread pick involving the Buckeyes. He's only sharing it over at SportsLine. 

The Buckeyes appeared to be in a lull last week against Nebraska, but did manage the victory. Now, they have to refocus with all their Big Ten and playoff aspirations on the line in games against Michigan State, Maryland and Michigan the next three weeks.

That means they need to get back to flying around the ball, getting after the quarterback and creating turnovers defensively. They've had just three sacks and forced just one turnover in their last two games. The good news for Ohio State is that Michigan State quarterback Brian Lewerke has been prone to giving the football up this season. He's thrown eight interceptions this season and has a passer rating of just 113.9 on the year.

But just because Ohio State has a great chance to create some turnovers in this matchup, doesn't mean it will cover the 4-point spread.

The Spartans haven't been as prolific as Ohio State on offense, but they've given every team they've faced problems by managing the clock in an attempt to make their opponents one-dimensional.

Michigan State is allowing just 2.5 yards per carry and is coming off its best performance of the season. The Spartans held Maryland to 100 yards of total offense and they'll look to duplicate last week's performance against Ohio State on Saturday.

Oh has analyzed this matchup from every possible angle and while we can tell you he's leaning Under, he has discovered a crucial X-factor that he believes makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's only sharing his pick over at SportsLine.

Who covers Ohio State vs. Michigan State? And what crucial X-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump all over Saturday, all from the data scientist who's an insane 8-0 run picking Ohio State games.

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