Over the next few weeks, ahead of the first College Football Playoff Rankings release on Nov. 1, we will be predicting what the top 25 would look like if the CFP Selection Committee started early. It is a warmup act for the warmup act, which are the CFP Rankings releases before the final one.

Note: Predictions in this post are based only on results to this point, so they do not reflect the final forecast for the playoff, which can be found here.

Here, we will try to emphasize the same criteria the committee uses. That will be difficult because, as we have learned, the committee can be all over the map. Sometimes, it decides that head-to-head record matters; sometimes, it doesn't. Sometimes, strength of schedule matters; sometimes, it doesn't. Sometimes, relative dominance matters; sometimes, it doesn't. Sometimes it's about game control -- whatever that is -- or recency bias or ... ah, you get the idea.

What we have learned is that this process is highly subjective. It is much more subjective than the process that the basketball committee uses, which is what the football committee was modeled after.

With all of that in mind, here is what I think the top 25 would look like this week.

1. Ohio State: The Buckeyes have laid waste to their first four opponents, including a dominant performance at Oklahoma.

2. Alabama: The difference between Alabama and Ohio State to this point is that Ole Miss put a scare into the Tide.

3. Clemson: The Tigers have played the best schedule of the top three and have the best win, which came over Louisville on Saturday. Clemson hasn't really put a complete game together yet though.

4. Louisville: Lamar Jackson is still the top contender for the Heisman Trophy despite the loss at Clemson because the Cardinals are piling up points like nobody else.

5. Michigan: The Wolverines haven't left the friendly confines of the Big House yet, but they did pick up a big win over Wisconsin last week.

6. Texas A&M: Kevin Sumlin's seat has cooled off considerably after a 5-0 start that includes wins over UCLA and Arkansas.

7. Tennessee: The Vols have already knocked off Florida and Georgia, their top two competitors in the SEC East. Now, they will test themselves against the West, beginning with a game at Texas A&M this week.

8. Houston: Tom Herman will be the focus of the coaching carousel this coming offseason, but in the meantime, he is looking to make the Cougars the first Group of Five CFP participant.

9. Washington: The Huskies got their first real test of the season last Friday against Stanford. They passed with flying colors, primarily Cardinal.

10. Wisconsin: The Badgers have beaten LSU, won at Michigan State and gave Michigan a good fight.

11. North Carolina: UNC hasn't lost since the opener against Georgia. The Tar Heels beat Florida State on a last-second 54-yard field goal.

12. Stanford: The Cardinal's reign atop the Pac-12 may be over after a blowout loss at Washington. They have played the strongest schedule of the 1-loss teams.

13. Arkansas: A loss at Texas A&M is the only blemish on what has otherwise been a pretty good start for the Hogs. They won at TCU earlier in the season.

14. Miami: The Hurricanes haven't been tested yet, but they're winning big. Angry rival Florida State should provide a true challenge.

15. Oklahoma: The Sooners didn't look good in losses to Houston and Ohio State, but getting a win at TCU was big. They have played the top-rated schedule. That may be true at the end of the season as well.

16. Florida State: Jimbo Fisher needs to fix his defense or this season could come unhinged. The Seminoles have played a great schedule also, but Louisville destroyed them and North Carolina broke their hearts. They did come back to beat Ole Miss though.

17. Ole Miss: If the Rebels could hold a lead, they might be at the top of these rankings. Both of their losses came after jumping out to big early leads.

18. Georgia: The Bulldogs opened the season with a win over North Carolina but have suffered back-to back-losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee.

19. Baylor: Last year, the committee significantly overrated the Bears early because they had an "explosive offense." As usual, their schedule has been putrid so far.

20. Nebraska: Mike Riley has the Cornhuskers playing better in his second year, but they haven't really been tested yet.

21. West Virginia: The Mountaineers haven't lost yet but haven't been all that impressive in winning, either. Their last two wins, over BYU and Kansas State, have come by a total of four points.

22. Florida: The Gators blew a big lead at Tennessee in their only significant test of the season so far.

23. Western Michigan: Since an opening-week one-point win at Northwestern, the Broncos have been putting up big numbers. They will be looking for the State of Illinois trifecta against Northern Illinois this week. WMU also won at Illinois.

24. Boise State: Nobody is surprised that these Broncos are also playing well. They have beaten both Oregon State and Washington State from the Pac-12

25. Utah: The Utes may challenge for the Pac-12 South title, but the loss at Cal this week hurts that cause.