San Diego State vs. Fresno State odds: College football picks, Week 9 predictions from proven computer model

SportsLine's model analyzed the Fresno State vs. San Diego State spread and released its CFB picks

By Scout Staff

Oct 30, 2021 at 1:02 pm ET • 2 min read

The San Diego State Aztecs and the Fresno State Bulldogs are set to square off in a Mountain West matchup at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 30 at Dignity Health Sports Park. The Aztecs are 7-0 overall and 4-0 at home, while Fresno State is 6-2 overall and 2-2 on the road. Fresno State is 5-3 and San Diego State is 5-2 against the spread in 2021. SDSU leads the all-time series 30-25-4.

The Aztecs are favored by one point in the latest San Diego State vs. Fresno State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 45.5. Before making any Fresno State vs. San Diego State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on San Diego State vs. Fresno State and just locked in its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for San Diego State vs. Fresno State:

San Diego State vs. Fresno State spread: San Diego State -1
San Diego State vs. Fresno State over-under: 46 points
San Diego State vs. Fresno State moneyline: San Diego State +100, Fresno State -120

What you need to know about San Diego State

Even if it wasn't a dominant performance, San Diego State beat the Air Force Falcons 20-14 last Saturday. SDSU was once again dominant defensively, but no one had a standout game offensively. They did get scores from running back Kaegun Williams and running back Chance Bell.

The Aztecs have a true weapon in punter/kicker Matt Araiza, which could give them a huge advantage in the field position battle. SDSU's defense is among the best in the country, giving up an average of 279.4 yards and 15.7 points per game.

What you need to know about Fresno State

Meanwhile, things were close when Fresno State and Nevada clashed on Saturday, but the Bulldogs ultimately edged out the Wolf Pack 34-32. RB Jordan Mims was the offensive standout of the matchup for the Bulldogs, rushing for 134 yards and one touchdown on 23 carries in addition to snatching one receiving touchdown.

Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener is one of the best quarterbacks in the country. He will have his work cut out against a dominant San Diego State defense, but he has proven he can make plays against anybody.

How to make Fresno State vs. San Diego State picks

The model has simulated San Diego State vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Fresno State vs. San Diego State pick at SportsLine.

So who wins San Diego State vs. Fresno State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.