No. 19 San Diego State (9-1, 5-1 Mountain West) can continue to control its own destiny in the Mountain West when it travels to UNLV (2-8, 2-4) on Friday night. The Aztecs have bounced back from a loss to Fresno State with consecutive wins over Hawaii and Nevada. UNLV lost eight straight games to open the season, but it has responded with a pair of victories over the last two weeks.
Kickoff is set for 11:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Aztecs are 11-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. UNLV odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the total is 41. Before entering any San Diego State vs. UNLV picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on a 36-23 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs. San Diego State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for San Diego State vs. UNLV:
- UNLV vs. San Diego State spread: San Diego State -11
- UNLV vs. San Diego State over-under: 41 points
What you need to know about San Diego State
UNLV has already been blown out by two ranked opponents this season, so confidence could be an issue heading into Friday night's game for SDSU. The Rebels have allowed at least 35 points on five different occasions in 2021. They are facing a San Diego State offense that is led by one of the best running backs in college football in Greg Bell.
He tallied 111 yards and one touchdown in a 34-6 win over UNLV last season and he leads this year's team with 849 rushing yards. Quarterback Lucas Johnson is coming off an efficient outing against Nevada and the coaching staff will not ask him to do too much on Friday. The Aztecs have gone 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games against UNLV.
What you need to know about UNLV
UNLV opened the year with a disastrous 0-8 start, but it has recovered by winning its last two games in upset fashion. It will be looking to take advantage of what could be a flat spot for San Diego State, as the Aztecs are coming off the huge win over Nevada and have a game against Boise State on deck. UNLV running back Charles Williams is coming off a monster performance, rushing for 266 yards in the 27-13 win over Hawaii.
Williams became the fourth player in Mountain West history to go over 4,000 career rushing yards. He is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and will give his team a chance to control the time of possession on Friday. The Rebels have covered the spread in five of their last seven games.
How to make UNLV vs. San Diego State picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins San Diego State vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine here to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks.