The Arkansas Razorbacks haven't had much success of late, posting losing records in each of their last four seasons. They followed a 4-8 year with back-to-back 2-10 campaigns before going 3-7 in coach Sam Pittman's first season in 2020. The 16th-ranked Razorbacks already have matched that win total and look to surpass it when they meet the No. 16 Texas A&M Aggies in the 78th Southwest Classic on Saturday. Arkansas has lost nine straight meetings with its SEC rivals since recording a 42-38 victory in 2011.
Kickoff for the SEC on CBS contest is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Aggies are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 47. Before locking in any Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks or college football predictions, you need to check out what the proven SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Arkansas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M:
- Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread: Aggies -4.5
- Texas A&M vs. Arkansas over-under: 47 points
- Texas A&M vs. Arkansas money line: Aggies -200, Razorbacks +170
- TAMU: The Aggies are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as favorites
- ARK: The Razorbacks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 overall contests
Why Texas A&M can cover
The Aggies are coming off their 11th overall victory, a 34-0 home shutout over New Mexico, and are seeking their first 4-0 start since beginning the 2016 season with six straight wins. Isaiah Spiller eclipsed the 100-yard plateau for the second time this year in the triumph, rushing for 117 and a touchdown. The junior is 184 yards away from overtaking Bob Smith for 15th place on the school's all-time list while junior receiver Ainias Smith needs two touchdown catches to pull even with Albert Connell for 10th.
Texas A&M has been stellar defensively, ranking first in the nation against the pass (77.3 yards) and in points allowed per game (5.7). The Aggies have kept opponents off the scoreboard over their last seven quarters and have yet to give up a passing touchdown in 2021. Texas A&M has been perfect in neutral-site games under coach Jimbo Fisher, winning all seven after edging Colorado 10-7 at Empower Field in Denver on Sept. 11.
Why Arkansas can cover
KJ Jefferson likely won't have much success throwing the ball against Texas A&M's top-ranked pass defense, but he has the ability to excel with his feet. The sophomore is second on the team with 180 rushing yards and became the first Arkansas quarterback to run for a pair of touchdowns since Tyler Wilson in 2011 when he accomplished the feat in the team's season-opening 38-17 victory over Rice. The Razorbacks have amassed 847 yards on the ground for an average of 282.3, which ranks them eighth in the country.
Arkansas had 269 rushing yards in last week's 45-10 triumph over Georgia Southern, with five different players gaining 20 or more. The team has gained at least 200 yards on the ground in each contest this year, the first time it has done so since 2013. Junior Trelon Smith was one of three Razorbacks to run for a touchdown against the Eagles, giving him one in every game this season and eight in his last seven contests dating back to 2020.
How to make Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 43 points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Texas A&M vs. Arkansas ATS pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.