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Big 12 teams aiming to erase the sting of overtime losses meet up Saturday when the Texas Longhorns host the Baylor Bears. Kickoff for the Baylor vs. Texas game is at 3:30 p.m. ET from Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas wants to forget its quadruple-overtime loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Showdown two weeks ago. Baylor dropped a double-OT decision against West Virginia three weeks ago, and have endured a subsequent COVID-19 outbreak.

Baylor is 5-1 against the spread in its last six meetings against the Longhorns in Austin. Texas is 0-4 against the spread in its last four October games. The Longhorns are nine-point favorites and the over-under for total points scored is 61 in the latest Texas vs. Baylor odds from William Hill. Before making any Baylor vs. Texas picks, be sure to see the college football predictions from SportsLine's Josh Nagel

A Nevada-based handicapper with more than 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry, Nagel specializes in college sports and has been a consistent winner for SportsLine members. Last year, he went 82-61-1 on his against-the-spread college football picks to give his followers a profit of nearly $2,000. He's currently on a 15-8 run overall with his selections heading into Week 8.

What's more, he has had a keen eye for the trajectories of both programs, posting a 25-11 record on against-the-spread picks involving either Baylor or Texas over the past three seasons. Anyone who has consistently followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Baylor vs. Texas. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Texas vs. Baylor:

  • Texas vs. Baylor spread: Texas -9
  • Texas vs. Baylor over-under: 61 points
  • Texas vs. Baylor money line: Texas -380, Baylor +310
  • BAY: The Bears have had three games either canceled or postponed because of COVID.
  • TEX: The Longhorns have won four of the last five meetings overall between the two teams. 

What you need to know about Baylor

The Bears are just happy to be back on the field, as a COVID-19 outbreak forced a 10-day program-wide shutdown of football activities. Baylor has already seen three games postponed due to coronavirus, losing contests against Louisiana Tech, Houston and No. 7 Oklahoma State -- with the matchup against the Cowboys moved back to Dec. 12.

Quarterback Charlie Brewer has thrown for 371 yards and four touchdowns in the two games the Bears have played. Baylor's last outing was Oct. 10, in which it lost to West Virginia 27-21 in double overtime. Although Texas and Baylor have split their last 10 games, the Bears downed the Longhorns 24-10 at home last season.

What you need to know about Texas

The Longhorns hope an open week helps soothe the pain of a 53-45, quadruple-overtime loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Shootout on Oct. 10. Texas was ranked as high as No. 8 in the country before losing two straight games. 

Texas still possesses a strong offense, ranking first in the nation in scoring offense (49.5 points per game) and 13th in total offense (495.3 yards per game). Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger has passed for 1,211 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions. 

How to make Texas vs. Baylor picks

Nagel is leaning under on the total, and he's also found a critical x-factor he believes makes one side of the spread a must-back. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Baylor vs. Texas? And which critical x-factor has Nagel jumping all over one side of the spread? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Baylor spread to jump on Saturday, all from the expert who is 25-11 on spread picks involving these teams, and find out.