The Texas Longhorns seek their third consecutive victory over Oklahoma State when they host the Cowboys on Saturday in a key Big 12 football contest for both clubs. The Longhorns (4-2, 2-1) beat Oklahoma State 41-34 on the road last year and 36-30 at home in 2019. However, the Cowboys (5-0, 2-0) had won on their five prior trips to Austin and another road victory in the rivalry would keep them undefeated and tied with Oklahoma for the conference lead. Texas holds a 26-9 all-time edge in the series.
Kickoff is set for noon ET from Texas Memorial Stadium. The Longhorns are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Oklahoma State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, down two points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 60.5. Before finalizing any Oklahoma State vs. Texas picks, make sure you check out the college football betting advice and predictions from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Oklahoma State vs. Texas and released its picks and best bets. You can see the model's picks and predictions at SportsLine. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Texas vs. Oklahoma State:
- Oklahoma State vs. Texas spread: Texas -3.5
- Oklahoma State vs. Texas over-under total: 60.5 points
- Oklahoma State vs. Texas money line: Texas -170, Oklahoma State +145
- OSU: The Cowboys have covered six of their last seven road games as an underdog
- UT: The Longhorns are on a 3-1-1 run ATS following a straight-up loss
Why Texas can cover
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian told the media this week that he wasn't worried about an emotional hangover stemming from the heartbreaking loss to Oklahoma last week. Instead of dwelling on what went wrong, the first-year coach said he has instead focused on duplicating the first-half effort that saw the Longhorns play their best football of the season.
They finally found the timing and execution to hit on long passing plays that had been absent from their arsenal while piling up 38 first-half points. Xavier Worthy caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Casey Thompson on the first play from scrimmage that set the stage for a huge day in the passing game. Worthy finished with nine catches for 261 yards and two touchdowns.
The defense also maintained its assignments and was generally disciplined aside from the 66-yard touchdown run it allowed to Caleb Williams in the second quarter. The Longhorns also forced two first-half turnovers that they turned into points.
Why Oklahoma State can cover
Historically under coach Mike Gundy, the Cowboys have featured an explosive offense but have seen their Big 12 title hopes annually hampered by a defense that is usually incapable of making key stops against upper-tier competition.
However, they have flipped the script this season with a top-20 scoring defense (19.2 ppg) that has made the difference against top-25 opponents in Kansas State and Baylor.
Oklahoma State held Kansas State's powerful rushing attack to just 62 yards and two third-down conversions in 12 tries while forcing two turnovers. The Cowboys also held Baylor to just 280 yards of total offense and again was efficient on third downs as the Bears went 3-for-15 and converted just once on three fourth-down tries.
The Cowboys boast four players who have at least 1.5 sacks each and have 10 who have registered double figures in total tackles. Senior linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez leads the way with 54 tackles and two forced fumbles, one of which he returned for a touchdown.
How to make Oklahoma State vs. Texas picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 61 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Texas vs. Oklahoma State picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Oklahoma State vs. Texas? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
