American Athletic Conference rivals trending in opposite directions meet on Friday when the Tulsa Golden Hurricane battle the host South Florida Bulls. Tulsa (1-1) knocked off 11th-ranked Central Florida 34-26 in its last game, while South Florida (1-4) is looking for its first win since Sept. 12. The Golden Hurricane will look to improve on last season's fifth-place finish in the AAC West when it tied with Houston with a 2-6 conference record. Tulsa was 4-8 overall. South Florida finished fourth in the AAC East at 2-6 and was 4-8 overall in 2019.

The game from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., kicks at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Golden Hurricane are favored by 11 points in the latest Tulsa vs. South Florida odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 50.5. Before making any South Florida vs. Tulsa picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 25-13 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $700 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tulsa vs. USF. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for USF vs. Tulsa:

  • Tulsa vs. South Florida spread: Tulsa -11
  • Tulsa vs. South Florida over-under: 50.5 points
  • Tulsa vs. South Florida money line: Tulsa -430, South Florida +350
  • TUL: Junior LB Zaven Collins ranks second nationally for tackles for loss (7.5)
  • USF: Johnny Ford ranks 12th in the nation with a 26.7-yard kick return average

Why Tulsa can cover

The Golden Hurricane entered the season with the second-highest combined career rushing yards and rushing TD totals in the nation by a running back group, second only to Clemson. Tulsa returned 4,541 career yards and 51 touchdowns, led by senior Shamari Brooks (ACL tear), who has 2,700 career yards and 23 TDs, but will miss the rest of the season. Picking up the load, however, are redshirt sophomore TK Wilkerson, sophomore Deneric Prince and redshirt senior Corey Taylor II. Taylor entered the season with 1,490 yards and 22 TDs.

Through the first two games, Prince leads the Golden Hurricane with 123 yards on 22 carries (5.6 average), while Wilkerson has carried 31 times for 108 yards (3.5 average) and one TD. Taylor has 13 carries for 61 yards (4.7 average). Prince is a transfer from Texas A&M. He played in one game there before redshirting. Wilkerson has played in 17 career games and has carried 89 times for 423 yards (4.8 average) and seven touchdowns.

Why South Florida can cover

The Bulls have a veteran secondary with four returning starters, including junior safety Nick Roberts, who leads the team in tackles with 36, including 19 solo. He has one pass breakup and one forced fumble. In his three-year career, he has 171 tackles, including 114 solo, with two sacks, two forced fumbles and five interceptions. In 2019, he saw action in all 12 games and started 11 at free safety.

Also powering the defense is junior linebacker Antonio Grier Jr., who is second on the team in tackles with 33, including 19 solo. He has also recorded all three of the Bulls' sacks this year and has forced two fumbles. For his career, he has 99 tackles, including 60 solo, with seven sacks, three forced fumbles and one pass breakup. Last season, he played in all 12 games, making four of his six starts at middle linebacker, and totaled 58 tackles, 8.5 tackles for loss and four sacks.

How to make Tulsa vs. USF picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the model suggesting both teams will combine to score just 41 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins USF vs. Tulsa? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Tulsa vs. USF spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,100 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.