The UAB Blazers will look to sweep the home-and-home two-year series against the South Alabama Jaguars when they meet on Thursday in Mobile, Ala. In their first-ever meeting last year, the Blazers posted a 35-3 home victory. UAB, who will be without starting quarterback Tyler Johnston III (shoulder), tied for first in the Conference-USA Western Division with Louisiana Tech at 6-2 and was 9-5 overall in 2019. South Alabama finished fifth in the Sun Belt West Division at 1-7 and was 2-10 overall.
The game is slated to start at 7:30 p.m. ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium. UAB was 3-4 on the road last season, while South Alabama was 2-4 on its home field. The Blazers are favored by seven points in the latest UAB vs. South Alabama odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 47.5. Before making any South Alabama vs. UAB picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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- UAB vs. South Alabama spread: UAB -7
- UAB vs. South Alabama over-under: 47.5 points
- UAB vs. South Alabama money line: South Alabama +220, UAB -260
- UAB: 8-6 against the spread in 2019; 0-1 in 2020
- SA: One of only five teams that is 2-0 against the spread thus far in 2020
Why UAB can cover
Despite losing Johnston, the Blazers' offense will be in the capable hands of redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who came in in relief against Miami. For the season, Lucero has completed 11 of 21 passes (52.4 percent) for 138 yards and one touchdown. In the season opener against Central Arkansas, he completed 7 of 9 passes for 83 yards and one touchdown. He also rushed once for three yards.
Senior running back Spencer Brown, UAB's career leading rusher, is approaching another program milestone. He scored his 33rd career rushing touchdown at Miami and is now two TDs away from tying Pat Green's record of 35, set from 1991-94. Brown is the nation's second-leading active rusher with 3,323 yards. For the season, he has carried 40 times for 201 yards (5.0 average) and two touchdowns. He also has two receptions for 18 yards.
Why South Alabama can cover
The Jaguars have a potent offense led by a pair of quarterbacks in Desmond Trotter and junior Chance Lovertich. The two have combined to throw for 684 yards on 40 of 67 passing (59.7 percent) and five touchdowns. The two combined to throw for 363 yards in the opener against Southern Mississippi. Trotter threw for 74 yards in the first quarter against Tulane before Lovertich came on to complete 18 of 29 passes for 247 yards and a pair of scores. It marked the first time in school history the Jaguars threw for over 300 yards in back-to-back games.
Junior wide receiver Jalen Tolbert leads South Alabama with 12 receptions for 268 yards (22.3 average) and two touchdowns. Last season, Tolbert started all 12 games and finished with 27 catches for 521 yards. He led the Jaguars with six touchdown receptions and an average of 19.3 yards per catch. He also had 10 explosive plays of 20 or more yards, third-highest on the team.
How to make South Alabama vs. UAB picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total as South Alabama's offense will be held under 300 total yards, while UAB's Lucero will be limited to one touchdown pass. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UAB vs. South Alabama? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the South Alabama vs. UAB spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,800 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.