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UNLV has a chance to pick up its first win of the season when it hosts San Jose State on Thursday night. The Rebels have lost their last three games by single digits, including a 28-24 setback against Utah State last week. San Jose State is now on a two-game losing skid after it came up short in a double-overtime loss to No. 24 San Diego State last Friday.

Kickoff is set for 11 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Spartans are 4.5-point favorites in the latest San Jose State vs. UNLV odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for points scored is 44. Before entering any UNLV vs. San Jose State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on a 22-9 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs. San Jose State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for San Jose State vs. UNLV:

  • UNLV vs. San Jose State spread: SJSU -4.5
  • UNLV vs. San Jose State over-under: 44 points
Featured Game | UNLV Rebels vs. San Jose State Spartans

What you need to know about UNLV

UNLV was hampered by 95 penalty yards against the Utah State Aggies on Saturday and couldn't close the gap as it fell 28-24. UNLV might have lost, but RB Charles Williams still had a huge game. He rushed for three TDs and 221 yards on 27 carries. One of the most memorable plays of the matchup was Williams' 75-yard touchdown rush in the first quarter. Williams' sharp performance set his single-game rushing touchdown high for the season.

Williams has been the only source of consistent offense for UNLV. He's carried the ball 121 times for 625 yards and six touchdowns, and he's also the team's third-leading receiver with 109 yards. UNLV has used four different quarterbacks this season, and it will need some consistency from that position to have a shot in this one. 

What you need to know about San Jose State

San Jose State was unable to overcome penalty issues in the loss to San Diego State last week. However, running back Tyler Nevens rushed for 74 yards and leading receiver Derrick Deese Jr. had six catches for 113 yards. Quarterback Nick Nash, who is filling in for injured starter Nick Starkel, is starting to find a rhythm with Deese and he has only thrown two interceptions in 75 pass attempts.

UNLV freshman quarterback Cameron Friel has thrown four interceptions to just one touchdown this season, so San Jose State's defense should have some takeaway opportunities. The Spartans held San Diego State to just 1.9 yards per carry last week and they allowed five third-down conversions on 16 attempts. UNLV has not been able to get the job done in the fourth quarter this season. 

How to make UNLV vs. San Jose State picks

The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins San Jose State vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see the pick, all from the model that has crushed its college football selections