Virginia's junior quarterback Brennan Armstrong leads the Cavaliers' pass-heavy offense as they travel to Hard Rock Stadium to play the Miami (FL) Hurricanes on Thursday evening. The ACC foes are both 2-2 and looking to improve to 3-2. The Hurricanes are eyeing to finish this four-game homestand with a 3-1 record, but they might have to do it without quarterback D'Eriq King, who could miss a second game due to a shoulder injury.
Kickoff in Miami Gardens, Fla., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Hurricanes at -5.5 in the latest Virginia vs. Miami odds after they opened at -3. The over-under for total points is set at 62. Before finalizing any Miami vs. Virginia picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, it also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Virginia vs. Miami spread: Miami -5.5
- Virginia vs. Miami over-under: 62 points
- Virginia vs. Miami money line: Virginia +180, Miami -220
- UVA: The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games
- MIA: The under is 7-2 in Miami's last nine Thursday games
Why Virginia can cover
The Cavaliers' offense is averaging 546 total yards per game and faces a favorable matchup. Miami is allowing 369.8 yards of total offense. The Hurricanes' defense has had difficulties stopping the pass, allowing 6.97 yards per attempt. Virginia's passing attack pushes the ball down the field, averaging 9.2 yards per attempt.
Senior receiver Ra'Shaun Henry is a reliable pass-catcher, hauling in 13 passes for 224 yards and a touchdown. Henry is averaging 17.2 yards per reception, making plays downfield. Senior Keytaon Thompson has made plays throughout the year. Thompson has caught 16 passes for 232 yards, averaging 14.5 yards per reception. The Virginia offense is full of playmakers who will force Miami's secondary to step up.
Why Miami can cover
The Hurricanes were able to get back on track last week after getting blown out by Michigan State 38-17 in Week 3. Miami bounced back in a big way by defeating the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils 69-0. The Hurricanes were able to successfully run and pass the ball at will. Miami's offense is averaging 455 total yards of offense but exploded for 739 yards against Central Connecticut State.
Freshman quarterback Tyler Van Dyke replaced King. Van Dyke stepped in and went 10-of-11 for 270 yards with three touchdowns. Junior running back Cam'Ron Harris gave the Blue Devils' defense fits all game. Harris rushed for 100 yards on 10 carries with two touchdowns and hauled in an 83-yard touchdown pass. If King can't play, Van Dyke and Harris will need to have big games and both guys showed they are capable of doing exactly that.
How to make Miami vs. Virginia picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 55 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Virginia vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.